Proposal of Parameter Range that Offered Optimal Performance in the Coastal Morphodynamic Model (XBeach) Through GLUE

Hyunwoo Bae, K. Do, In-Sok Kim, Sungyeol Chang
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The process-based XBeach model has numerous empirical parameters because of insufficient understanding of hydrodynamics and sediment transport on the nearshore; hence, it is necessary to calibrate parameters to apply to various study areas and wave conditions. Therefore, the calibration process of parameters is essential for the improvement of model performance. Generally, the trial-and-error method is widely used; however, this method is passive and limited to various and comprehensive parameter ranges. In this study, the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method was used to estimate the optimal range of three parameters (gamma, facua, and gamma2) using morphological field data collected in Maengbang beach during the four typhoons that struck from September to October 2019. The model performance and optimal range of empirical parameters were evaluated using Brier Skill Score (BSS) along with the baseline profiles, sensitivity, and likelihood density analysis of BSS in the GLUE tools. Accordingly, the optimal parameter combinations were derived when facua was less than 0.15 and simulated well the shifting shape, from crescentic sand bar to alongshore uniform sand bars in the surf zone of Maengbang beach after storm impact. However, the erosion and accretion patterns nearby in the surf zone and shoreline remain challenges in the XBeach model.
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基于GLUE的海岸形态动力学模型(XBeach)中提供最优性能的参数范围建议
基于过程的XBeach模型由于对近岸水动力和泥沙输运的认识不足,经验参数较多;因此,有必要对参数进行校准,以适用于不同的研究区域和波浪条件。因此,参数的标定过程对于提高模型性能至关重要。一般来说,试错法被广泛使用;然而,该方法是被动的,并且受限于各种综合参数范围。本文采用广义似然不确定性估计(GLUE)方法,利用2019年9月至10月四次台风袭击期间在孟邦海滩收集的形态场数据,估计了三个参数(gamma、facua和gamma2)的最优范围。使用Brier Skill Score (BSS)以及GLUE工具中BSS的基线概况、灵敏度和似然密度分析来评估模型性能和经验参数的最佳范围。因此,当facua < 0.15时,得到了最佳的参数组合,并很好地模拟了孟帮海滩冲浪带在风暴冲击后由新月形沙洲向滨岸均匀沙洲的转变形状。然而,在冲浪带和海岸线附近的侵蚀和增生模式仍然是XBeach模型的挑战。
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