Foreign Policy during and after Barack Obama

R. Packer
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Abstract

In this chapter, I will review what I see as the essential characteristics of the Obama foreign policy style and analyze whether we can discern a clear “Obama doctrine” from his foreign policy actions and rhetoric. In order to do so, I will lay out the four major approaches to American foreign policy-making and then assess how Obama’s policies fit within these approaches. Obama’s early foreign policy moves emphasized reconciliation and a more focused approach on counterterrorism as opposed to regime change. However, domestic political and international geopolitical constraints came to limit his ambitions. As the first Black president, Obama’s initial soaring rhetoric of change was replaced by cautionary tales of avoiding mistakes. After laying out the four schools of American foreign policy (nationalist, realist, liberal institutionalist, neoconservative), I discuss Obama’s policy style—the “nonideological doctrine”—that was purposively deliberative and cautious, in contrast to the ideological Bush regime-change crusade. Obama was careful to weigh the costs and benefits of policy options, keeping an eye on his predilection that foreign affairs must not interfere with the domestic agenda. This caution, which avoided major commitments to overseas conflicts, came under criticism from both the Left and Right of the political spectrum.
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奥巴马执政期间和之后的外交政策
在本章中,我将回顾我认为奥巴马外交政策风格的本质特征,并分析我们是否可以从他的外交政策行动和言论中辨别出明确的“奥巴马主义”。为了做到这一点,我将列出美国外交政策制定的四种主要方法,然后评估奥巴马的政策如何与这些方法相适应。奥巴马早期的外交政策行动强调和解和更专注于反恐,而不是政权更迭。然而,国内政治和国际地缘政治的限制限制了他的野心。作为第一位黑人总统,奥巴马最初高调的改革言论被避免错误的警示故事所取代。在阐述了美国外交政策的四种流派(民族主义、现实主义、自由制度主义、新保守主义)之后,我讨论了奥巴马的政策风格——“非意识形态主义”——与意识形态上的布什政权更迭运动形成鲜明对比,奥巴马的政策风格是有意的深思熟虑和谨慎。奥巴马在权衡各种政策选择的成本和收益时十分谨慎,他的偏好是外交事务不能干扰国内议程。这种谨慎避免了对海外冲突的重大承诺,受到了左翼和右翼政治派别的批评。
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