The Two Shall Become One: Overcoming the Stalemate between Industrial and Climate Change Policies

Gaylor Montmasson-Clair
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Industrial development and climate change mitigation have historically been opposed to each other. This is reflected in the industrial and climate change policy frameworks in South Africa. As a result of these two opposing frameworks and the disruptive and complex nature of the necessary transition to a low-carbon economy, the emergence of a climate change regime is seen as a threat and a risk to industrial development. Without immediate and ambitious action, the dichotomy between industrial development and climate change mitigation is moreover due to amplify. This raises the need to overcome the limited prism of analysis focused on incompatibility. This policy brief aims to contribute to filling the gap by investigating the interplay between industrial and climate change policies, the compatibility of the two frameworks and the options to manage the transition. This policy brief first argues that South Africa’s institutional arrangement and policy vision for industrial development and climate change are mainly mutually beneficial and provide an opportunity for a holistic approach. Second, the necessity for South Africa to position the country on short-term trade-offs associated with the cost of the transition is put forward. Third, the need for a strategic discovery and policy impact assessment process is ascertained.
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两者合二为一:克服工业政策与气候变化政策之间的僵局
工业发展和减缓气候变化历来是对立的。这反映在南非的工业和气候变化政策框架中。由于这两种对立的框架,以及向低碳经济必要转型的破坏性和复杂性,气候变化制度的出现被视为对工业发展的威胁和风险。如果不立即采取雄心勃勃的行动,工业发展和减缓气候变化之间的二分法将进一步扩大。这就需要克服集中于不兼容性的有限的分析棱镜。本政策简报旨在通过调查工业和气候变化政策之间的相互作用、两个框架的兼容性以及管理过渡的选择,为填补这一空白做出贡献。这份政策简报首先认为,南非在工业发展和气候变化方面的制度安排和政策愿景主要是互利的,并为采取整体方法提供了机会。其次,提出了南非有必要将国家置于与转型成本相关的短期权衡中。第三,确定战略发现和政策影响评估过程的必要性。
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