Information Design Using Copulas

Rafayal Ahmed
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Abstract

We propose an equivalent formulation of a two player information design problem in terms of choosing a copula, as opposed to choosing a joint distribution of a signal and the state variable. We then propose a copula based signal ordering which is both necessary and sufficient for the more informative signal to generate higher dispersion of the distribution of posteriors. Applications involving Bayesian persuasion with a continuous state variable, a buyer's incentives to acquire information and a seller's incentives to provide information in a bilateral trade setting, and the role of insider information in European and American call option valuations are presented.
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使用copula进行信息设计
我们提出了一个关于选择联结的两玩家信息设计问题的等价公式,而不是选择信号和状态变量的联合分布。然后,我们提出了一种基于copula的信号排序方法,该方法对于信息更丰富的信号产生更高的后置分布色散是必要和充分的。本文讨论了具有连续状态变量的贝叶斯说服、双边交易环境下买方获取信息的激励和卖方提供信息的激励,以及内幕信息在欧美看涨期权估值中的作用。
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