Is Chinese IPO initial return underpricing or overvaluation? A new evidence based on stochastic frontier models

Wu Long
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Abstract

It has been controversial for the formation mechanism of IPO initial returns anomaly. The underpricing explanation based on asymmetric information is well accepted, but could not explains that in emerging markets; the overvaluation explanation based on behavioral finance has more applicability in emerging markets, but cannot be supported well by empirical test because of the difficult of explanatory variables. This paper analyzes the four main possibility of the formation mechanism of IPO initial returns, and chooses the issue PE ratio as the proxy to do empirical test of the IPO pricing efficiency with a sample of Chinese IPOs during 1998-2007, based on the stochastic frontier models, as to provide the new evidence of the overvaluation explanation of Chinese IPO initial returns indirectly.
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中国IPO初始收益是低估还是高估?基于随机前沿模型的新证据
IPO初始收益异常的形成机制一直存在争议。基于信息不对称的定价过低解释被广泛接受,但在新兴市场无法解释;基于行为金融学的估值过高解释在新兴市场的适用性更强,但由于解释变量的困难,无法很好地得到实证检验的支持。本文分析了IPO初始收益形成机制的四种主要可能性,并以1998-2007年中国IPO为样本,基于随机前沿模型,以发行市盈率为代表对IPO定价效率进行实证检验,间接为中国IPO初始收益估值过高的解释提供新的证据。
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