Türkiye’de İki İlde Optimum Eğim Açılarında Eğimli Yüzeyde Aylık, Mevsimsel, Yıllık Toplam Güneş Işınımının Tahmini

Eray ÖNLER, Birol KAYİŞOĞLU
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Abstract

In solar energy systems that use solar panels, it's important to know the best tilt angle to optimize solar energy production. Monthly, seasonal, and annual optimum tilt angles were determined in this study using meteorological insolation data from many years in the provinces of Tekirdag and Konya, which are located in different regions of Turkey. At optimum tilt angles, monthly, seasonal, and annual total radiation on the tilted surface were 1516.7 kWh m-2 year-1, 1504.1 kWh m-2 year-1 and 1448.1 kWh m-2 year-1 in Tekirdag, respectively. In Konya, these values were 1851.4 kWh m-2 year-1, 1833.51 kWh m-2 year-1 and kWh m-2 year-1, respectively. In the seasonal and annual optimum tilt angles, there was an approximately 1% and 5% loss in the total radiation values on the tilted surface, respectively, according to the monthly optimum tilt angle. In addition, the coefficients of the relationship between the monthly mean daily radiation on the tilted surface and the tilt angles were determined for each month using the cubic regression model in both provinces. The Cubic regression model coefficients are computed for each month in the provinces of Tekirdag and Konya. All months in both provinces had R2 (Coefficient of determination) values of 0.999 for the Cubic model. To determine whether there is a difference between the total amounts of radiation reaching the tilted surface for each month at the best tilt angles obtained by the two methods, the t-test was used. The monthly average daily radiation values on the tilted surface obtained by the two methods at the best tilt angles in both provinces have not been found to differ statistically (p>0.05; t=0.001).
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土耳其两个省最佳坡角斜坡表面月、季、年太阳总辐照度估算
在使用太阳能电池板的太阳能系统中,了解最佳倾斜角度以优化太阳能生产是很重要的。本研究利用位于土耳其不同地区的Tekirdag省和Konya省多年的气象日照数据,确定了月、季和年最佳倾斜角。在最佳倾斜角度下,Tekirdag倾斜地表的月、季、年总辐射分别为1516.7 kWh m-2 year-1、1504.1 kWh m-2 year-1和1448.1 kWh m-2 year-1。在Konya,这些值分别为1851.4 kWh m-2 year-1, 1833.51 kWh m-2 year-1和kWh m-2 year-1。在季节和年最佳倾斜角下,按月最佳倾斜角计算,倾斜地表的总辐射值分别损失约1%和5%。此外,利用三次回归模型确定了两省各月份倾斜地表月平均日辐射与倾斜角度的关系系数。在Tekirdag省和Konya省每月计算立方回归模型系数。两省所有月份的立方模型R2(决定系数)值均为0.999。为了确定在两种方法获得的最佳倾斜角度下,每个月到达倾斜表面的辐射总量是否存在差异,使用t检验。两种方法在最佳倾斜角度下获得的倾斜地表月平均日辐射量在两省间无统计学差异(p>0.05;t = 0.001)。
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