ANALYSIS OF THE CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION IN WEST AFRICA

Ahmed Malumfashi Halliru, Bashir Umar Faruk
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Abstract

As climate change continues to cause more concern the world over, analyzing the causal relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions is paramount in West African sub-region that has been the hardest hit by the menace. This study investigated the causal relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in West African countries using panel data spanning over 1970 to 2019 and employing the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (2012) panel causality test. After establishing the order of integration of the study’s variables and cointegration, the results indicated that economic growth causes carbon emissions in the studied countries without feedback. But trade openness has a bi-directional causal relationship with carbon emission. Foreign direct investment (FDI) and financial development exhibit a unidirectional causal relationship with emissions and the causality runs from FDI and financial development to carbon emissions. However, in the case of population, the unidirectional causality runs from carbon emissions to population. The policy suggestion is that ECOWAS countries should promote conservation policies to curtail pollution while stressing the inflow of green FDI into the region.
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西非经济增长与环境退化的因果关系分析
随着气候变化在世界范围内引起越来越多的关注,分析经济增长与二氧化碳排放之间的因果关系对于受气候变化威胁最严重的西非次区域至关重要。本研究使用1970年至2019年的面板数据,并采用dumitrescui - hurlin(2012)面板因果检验,调查了西非国家经济增长与碳排放之间的因果关系。在建立了研究变量的积分顺序和协整后,结果表明,在没有反馈的情况下,经济增长导致了研究国家的碳排放。但贸易开放与碳排放存在双向因果关系。外商直接投资(FDI)和金融发展与碳排放呈单向因果关系,其因果关系从FDI和金融发展一直延伸到碳排放。然而,在人口的情况下,单向因果关系从碳排放到人口。政策建议是西非经共体各国应促进减少污染的养护政策,同时强调绿色外国直接投资流入该区域。
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