The Effect of Yuan Exchange Rate to Islamic Banking Credit Risk in Asia Case Study of Indonesia

Wahyu Khoirun Nisa, Patria Yunita, Ayis Mukholik
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of the yuan exchange rate on non- performing financing in Islamic banking for the period March 2012 to February 2022. The type of data used in this study is quantitative data and the source of data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the official website of the Authority. Financial Services (OJK) and Bank Indonesia (BI) . The data analysis model in this study uses multinomial logit regression analysis, where multinomial logistic regression is a logistic regression used when the dependent variable has a polychotomous or multinomial scale. The results of the analysis show that the yuan exchangeAuthor I ArticleTitle rate has a positive and insignificant effect on non-performing financing of Islamic banking when the NPF ratio is in a Medium Risk condition. In High Risk the yuan exchange rate has a positive and significant effect on non- performing financing of Islamic banking and when in Very High Risk conditions, the yuan exchange rate has a positive and insignificant effect on non-performing financing of Islamic banking. The Pseudo R-Square value is 0.1057 which means that the value of the variation of the dependent variable that can be explained by the independent variable is 10.57% while the remaining 89.43% is explained by other variables.
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人民币汇率对亚洲伊斯兰银行信用风险的影响——以印尼为例
本研究旨在分析2012年3月至2022年2月期间人民币汇率对伊斯兰银行不良融资的影响。本研究中使用的数据类型为定量数据,本研究中使用的数据来源为二手数据,这些数据来自管理局的官方网站。金融服务(OJK)和印尼银行(BI)。本研究的数据分析模型采用多项逻辑回归分析,其中多项逻辑回归是因变量具有多分或多项尺度时使用的逻辑回归。分析结果表明,当NPF比率处于中等风险状态时,人民币汇率对伊斯兰银行不良融资的影响为正且不显著。在高风险条件下,人民币汇率对伊斯兰银行不良融资有显著的正向影响,在极高风险条件下,人民币汇率对伊斯兰银行不良融资有不显著的正向影响。伪r方值为0.1057,即自变量能解释的因变量变异值为10.57%,其余89.43%被其他变量解释。
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