Nuclearization of Indian Ocean Region Implications for Strategic Stability in South Asia

Anum A Khan
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Abstract

This research focuses on nuclearization of the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) by India and its impact on strategic stability between India and Pakistan. The research question addressed in this paper is how nuclearization of IOR by India can have negative implications for South Asian strategic stability? With the help of major powers through Military Logistic Support Agreements and by being a member of alliances like Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, India will have access to more sophisticated technologies in the IOR. This Indian naval nuclear and military exceptionalism will assist India to use coercive strategies and nuclear blackmail vis-à-vis Pakistan. This will negatively impact strategic stability between India and Pakistan. Pakistan will have to consequently acquire assured second-strike capability as well as, invest in antisubmarine warfare capabilities including swarms of unmanned underwater vehicles controlled by artificial intelligence. The findings indicate that as India will not revise its naval nuclear ambitions, Pakistan must work for a progressing economic outlook so that it can opt for assured second strike capability in the future. The research methodology utilized in this article is qualitative. Both primary and secondary sources of data were employed in this research. Interviews were conducted for the collection of primary data.
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印度洋地区核化对南亚战略稳定的影响
本文的研究重点是印度在印度洋地区的核化及其对印巴战略稳定的影响。本文的研究问题是印度印度洋地区的核化如何对南亚战略稳定产生负面影响?通过军事后勤支持协议和成为四方安全对话等联盟的成员,在大国的帮助下,印度将有机会在印度洋地区获得更先进的技术。印度海军的核和军事例外论将有助于印度对-à-vis巴基斯坦使用强制战略和核讹诈。这将对印度和巴基斯坦之间的战略稳定产生负面影响。因此,巴基斯坦必须获得可靠的二次打击能力,并投资于反潜战能力,包括由人工智能控制的无人潜航器群。调查结果表明,由于印度不会改变其海军核野心,巴基斯坦必须为不断发展的经济前景而努力,以便在未来选择有保证的第二次打击能力。本文采用的研究方法是定性的。本研究采用了第一手和二手数据来源。访谈是为了收集原始数据。
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