Similarities and Differences in the Manifestations of the COVID-19 Epidemic Process in Some Countries

O. P. Chernyavskaya, D. V. Kolodina, T. R. Belova
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Abstract

Relevance . The pandemic of a new coronavirus infection has become an unprecedented challenge for modern society. It took the entire population of the Earth by surprise, changing the lives of millions of people in the world in record time. Governments of different countries have reacted differently to the pandemic. The list of preventive measures and the timeliness of their adoption differed. Comparing and evaluating the experience of different countries and emergency response systems will help in the future to use best practices and models to combat future biological threats. The aim of the study was to identify and describe the features of the manifestation of the COVID-19 epidemic process in a number of countries, taking into account the ongoing anti-epidemic and preventive measures, and to hypothesize about the main factors that could potentially influence the differences in the manifestation of the COVID-19 epidemic process. Materials and methods . The choice of countries was conditioned by the purpose to compare the manifestations of epidemic process in our country with the great powers and economies of the world - USA and China and countries (Republic of Belarus and Sweden), which did not introduce lockdown and did not follow all WHO recommendations. To achieve this goal, a descriptive research method was used based on open source data, an analysis of relevant Russian and foreign literature was carried out (scientific electronic libraries PubMed and Elibrary; open sources of statistical information: Yandex DataLens Public: Coronavirus: Dashboard, Johns Hopkins University website, United Nations Population Division, World Bank, Global Panel Database on COVID-19 Pandemic Policy (Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker), as well as the website of the World Health Organization (WHO), Our World in Data, Rospotrebnadzor and some media). Conclusion . The lowest incidence rate is observed in China (on average 315.1 per 100 thousand population [95% CI 314.8–315.4]), and the highest is in the USA (9957.7 per 100 thousand population [95% CI 9954.5–9960.9]). In terms of the number of tests conducted, the United States and Russia are in the lead. To date, the highest vaccination coverage and vaccination rate are observed in the PRC and amount to 92.4% and 90.1%, respectively. In general, these indicators do not reach 95% in all countries, which requires improving the quality of immunoprophylaxis measures. Anti-epidemic measures in the studied countries differed in their set, scope and severity of implementation. In China, Russia and the USA were held in full, and in Belarus and Sweden only partially, some of the events were not held at all. Thanks to the rapid creation of effective vaccines in Russia and China, it was possible to delay the onset of pronounced increases in morbidity at a later date, which, in turn, helped to reduce the burden on the healthcare system. At the same time, despite the obvious relevance of COVID-19, the question of a comprehensive study of the alleged risk factors (biological, social and natural) is still open. There is a certain probability that the virus will now be permanently present in the global population (it will become a seasonal disease).
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一些国家新冠肺炎疫情过程表现的异同
的相关性。新型冠状病毒感染大流行成为现代社会面临的前所未有的挑战。它让地球上的所有人都大吃一惊,在创纪录的时间内改变了世界上数百万人的生活。不同国家的政府对这一流行病的反应不同。预防措施的清单和采取这些措施的及时性各不相同。比较和评估不同国家和应急系统的经验将有助于今后使用最佳做法和模式来应对未来的生物威胁。本研究的目的是识别和描述一些国家的COVID-19流行过程的表现特征,同时考虑到正在进行的防疫和预防措施,并假设可能影响COVID-19流行过程表现差异的主要因素。材料和方法。选择国家的目的是将我国流行病过程的表现与世界上的大国和经济体-美国和中国以及没有实行封锁和没有遵循世卫组织所有建议的国家(白俄罗斯共和国和瑞典)进行比较。为了实现这一目标,采用了基于开源数据的描述性研究方法,对相关的俄罗斯和外国文献进行了分析(科学电子图书馆PubMed和library;公开统计信息来源:Yandex DataLens公开:冠状病毒:仪表盘、约翰霍普金斯大学网站、联合国人口司、世界银行、COVID-19大流行政策全球小组数据库(牛津COVID-19政府应对跟踪器),以及世界卫生组织(WHO)网站、Our World in Data、Rospotrebnadzor和一些媒体)。结论。发病率最低的是中国(平均每10万人315.1例[95% CI 314.8-315.4]),最高的是美国(每10万人9957.7例[95% CI 9954.5-9960.9])。就试验次数而言,美国和俄罗斯处于领先地位。迄今为止,中国的疫苗接种率和疫苗接种率最高,分别达到92.4%和90.1%。总的来说,这些指标在所有国家都没有达到95%,这就需要提高免疫预防措施的质量。所研究的国家的防疫措施在实施的种类、范围和严重程度上各不相同。在中国、俄罗斯和美国举行了全部比赛,在白俄罗斯和瑞典只举行了部分比赛,有些比赛根本没有举行。由于俄罗斯和中国迅速研制出有效的疫苗,有可能将发病率显著上升的发病时间推迟到较晚的日期,这反过来又有助于减轻医疗保健系统的负担。与此同时,尽管COVID-19具有明显的相关性,但对所谓的风险因素(生物、社会和自然)进行全面研究的问题仍然存在。这种病毒现在有一定的可能性永久存在于全球人口中(它将成为一种季节性疾病)。
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来源期刊
Epidemiologiya i Vaktsinoprofilaktika
Epidemiologiya i Vaktsinoprofilaktika Medicine-Infectious Diseases
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
58
审稿时长
8 weeks
期刊最新文献
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