{"title":"Efficient targeting in childhood interventions","authors":"Alexander Paul, Dorthe Bleses, Michael Rosholm","doi":"10.3368/jhr.0320-10756r4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Abstract</h3> Using Danish administrative data, we address the issue of efficient targeting in childhood interventions. We define children to be in need of an intervention if they experience one or more socially undesirable outcomes in adulthood. Because interventions are very effective early in life, we then test if and to what extent indicators available at birth can predict these outcomes. We find fair to good levels of prediction accuracy for many outcomes, driven by a parsimonious set of predictors. We show that optimal weights for the construction of risk scores deviate from the weights typically used in targeted interventions.","PeriodicalId":48346,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Human Resources","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3000,"publicationDate":"2023-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Human Resources","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.0320-10756r4","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Using Danish administrative data, we address the issue of efficient targeting in childhood interventions. We define children to be in need of an intervention if they experience one or more socially undesirable outcomes in adulthood. Because interventions are very effective early in life, we then test if and to what extent indicators available at birth can predict these outcomes. We find fair to good levels of prediction accuracy for many outcomes, driven by a parsimonious set of predictors. We show that optimal weights for the construction of risk scores deviate from the weights typically used in targeted interventions.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Human Resources is among the leading journals in empirical microeconomics. Intended for scholars, policy makers, and practitioners, each issue examines research in a variety of fields including labor economics, development economics, health economics, and the economics of education, discrimination, and retirement. Founded in 1965, the Journal of Human Resources features articles that make scientific contributions in research relevant to public policy practitioners.
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