Optimization of tax structure and high-quality economic development

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Abstract

With the promotion of the new round of fiscal and taxation system reform, the optimization of the tax system structure will continue to play a role in the quality of China's economic growth. This paper selects panel data of 38 countries from 2000 to 2020 to build a two-way fixed-effect model to empirically test the specific impact of tax structure on the quality of economic growth. The results show that the proportion of direct tax is significantly positively correlated with the quality of economic growth. The indirect tax ratio has a significant negative correlation with the quality of economic growth. From the perspective of major taxes, the higher the proportion of corporate income tax and individual income tax, the more conducive to the improvement of the quality of economic growth; The greater the proportion of consumption tax and value-added tax in tax revenue, the more detrimental it is to the improvement of the quality of economic growth. Based on the above empirical results, it is proposed to increase the proportion of direct tax, optimize the structure of indirect tax, and promote the improvement of the quality of economic growth through the optimization of tax structure.
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优化税收结构,促进经济高质量发展
随着新一轮财税体制改革的推进,税制结构的优化将继续对中国经济增长质量发挥作用。本文选取2000 - 2020年38个国家的面板数据,构建双向固定效应模型,实证检验税收结构对经济增长质量的具体影响。结果表明,直接税比重与经济增长质量显著正相关。间接税比率与经济增长质量呈显著负相关。从主要税种看,企业所得税和个人所得税比重越高,越有利于经济增长质量的提高;消费税和增值税在税收中的比重越大,越不利于经济增长质量的提高。基于以上实证结果,提出通过优化税收结构,提高直接税比重,优化间接税结构,促进经济增长质量的提高。
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