Effects of regional accessibility on productivity: An analysis based on composite indicators

João Fragoso Januário, Álvaro Costa, Carlos Oliveira Cruz, Joaquim Miranda Sarmento, Vítor Faria e Sousa
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Abstract

The relationship between transport infrastructure and accessibility has long stood as a central research area in regional and transport economics. Often invoked by governments to justify large public spending on infrastructure, the study of this relationship has led to conflicting arguments on the role that transport plays in productivity. This paper expands the existing body of knowledge by adopting a spatial analysis (with spillover effects) that considers the physical effects of investment in terms of accessibility (using distinct metrics). The authors have used the Portuguese experience at regional level over the last 30 years as a case study. The main conclusions are as follows: i) the choice of transport variables matters when explaining productivity, and more complex accessibility indicators are more correlated with; ii) it is important to account for spill-over effects; and iii) the evidence of granger causality is not widespread but depends on the regions.
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区域可达性对生产力的影响:基于复合指标的分析
长期以来,交通基础设施与可达性的关系一直是区域交通经济学的研究热点。政府经常援引这种关系为基础设施的大规模公共支出辩护,但对这种关系的研究导致了关于交通在生产率中所起作用的相互矛盾的争论。本文通过采用空间分析(具有溢出效应)来扩展现有的知识体系,该分析考虑了可达性方面投资的物理效应(使用不同的度量标准)。作者以过去30年葡萄牙在区域一级的经验作为案例研究。主要结论如下:1)交通变量的选择对生产率的解释有重要影响,更复杂的可达性指标与生产率的相关性更强;Ii)考虑溢出效应很重要;格兰杰因果关系的证据并不普遍,但取决于区域。
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CiteScore
1.00
自引率
14.30%
发文量
13
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