Auctions and Negotiations in Housing Price Dynamics

David Genesove, James Hansen
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract We shed light on housing price inertia by investigating how the home-sale mechanism affects housing price dynamics. Using Australian data, we find that auction prices forecast better and display less momentum than negotiated prices. These findings are robust to alternative price measurements and different sample selection corrections. Motivated by micro-theory that predicts different weights for buyer and seller values in auction and negotiated prices, we decompose housing prices into two diffusion processes and interpret them as buyer value and seller value, respectively. The seller value updates much more slowly, which could be an important driver of housing price inertia.
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房价动态中的拍卖与谈判
摘要本文通过考察房屋销售机制对房价动态的影响,揭示了房价惯性。使用澳大利亚的数据,我们发现拍卖价格比谈判价格预测更好,表现出更少的动力。这些发现是稳健的替代价格测量和不同的样本选择修正。根据微观理论对拍卖价格和协商价格中买方和卖方价值权重的预测,我们将房价分解为两个扩散过程,分别解释为买方价值和卖方价值。卖方价值的更新要慢得多,这可能是房价惯性的一个重要驱动因素。
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