How Guatemala Defied the Odds

IF 4.3 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Journal of Democracy Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI:10.1353/jod.2023.a907685
Rachel A. Schwartz, Anita Isaacs
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Abstract

Abstract: Guatemala has experienced sustained democratic backsliding, including the manipulation of the 2023 electoral playing field. Yet, against the odds, Guatemalan citizens defied the ruling regime's electoral authoritarian strategy, voting an anticorruption reformer into power. This article analyzes Guatemala's (anti)democratic trajectory and explains how opposition actors resisted further backsliding during the 2023 electoral process. The authors argue that the Guatemalan regime reflects a "criminal oligarchy," and examine how rule-of-law advances prompted elite backlash that eviscerated democratic institutions. The unexpected 2023 electoral outcome, however, illustrates the possibilities of exploiting fissures in the criminal-oligarchic coalition to arrest authoritarian consolidation.
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危地马拉是如何战胜困难的
摘要:危地马拉经历了持续的民主倒退,包括对2023年选举竞争环境的操纵。然而,尽管困难重重,危地马拉人民蔑视统治政权的选举独裁策略,投票给一名反腐改革者掌权。本文分析危地马拉的(反)民主轨迹,并解释反对派如何在2023年选举过程中抵制进一步倒退。作者认为,危地马拉政权反映了一个“犯罪的寡头政治”,并研究了法治的进步是如何引发精英阶层的强烈反对,从而破坏了民主制度。然而,2023年出人意料的选举结果表明,利用犯罪寡头联盟的裂痕来阻止威权巩固的可能性。
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来源期刊
Journal of Democracy
Journal of Democracy POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
6.50%
发文量
60
期刊介绍: Since its inception in 1990, the Journal of Democracy has become an influential international forum for scholarly analysis and competing democratic viewpoints. Its articles have been cited in The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal and widely reprinted in many languages. Focusing exclusively on democracy, the Journal monitors and analyzes democratic regimes and movements in scores of countries around the world. Each issue features a unique blend of scholarly analysis, reports from democratic activists, updates on news and elections, and reviews of important recent books.
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