From the Protocol to the Windsor Framework

C R G Murray, Niall Robb
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Abstract

The Windsor Framework, the new package of measures agreed by the United Kingdom (UK) and European Union (EU) as well as the new name for the Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland, was presented in February 2023 amidst considerable fanfare. This article examines the rationale for the new Framework amongst the negotiators and how some of its headline provisions impact upon those most exposed to the out-workings of any deal – those living and doing business in Northern Ireland. We investigate the possible implications for Northern Ireland of the new minimalist regulatory alignment in the trade in goods and the possibility of a ‘cooperation dividend’ stemming from warmer UK–EU relations. In particular, we examine the operation and possible limitations upon the ‘Stormont Brake’ mechanism. This article ultimately assesses whether Sunak’s Windsor Framework will be any more successful than the May Backstop and Johnson Protocol before it at ‘getting Brexit done’.
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从议定书到温莎框架
《温莎框架》是英国和欧盟商定的一揽子新措施,也是《爱尔兰/北爱尔兰议定书》的新名称,于2023年2月大张旗鼓地提出。本文考察了谈判者之间的新框架的基本原理,以及它的一些主要条款如何影响那些最容易受到任何协议的影响的人-那些在北爱尔兰生活和做生意的人。我们调查了货物贸易中新的最低限度监管对齐对北爱尔兰可能产生的影响,以及来自更温暖的英欧关系的“合作红利”的可能性。特别地,我们研究了“斯托蒙特刹车”机制的操作和可能的限制。本文最终评估了苏纳克的温莎框架在“完成英国脱欧”方面是否会比梅支持协议和约翰逊协议更成功。
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