COMPARISON OF FIELD AND FORECAST METOCEAN DATA IN THE GERMAN BIGHT

Lukas Froehling, Thilo Grotebrune, Arndt Hildebrandt
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Abstract

Offshore wind energy can contribute significantly to achieve greenhouse gas neutrality in the near future. But the planning, construction and operation of offshore wind parks is associated with high costs. In particular, the operation and maintenance (OandM) costs account for a major fraction and in turn are also dependent on appropriate weather windows in which working vessels can operate. A precise knowledge of how wind, sea state and currents affect each other, as well as the most accurate possible prediction of the development, is essential to maximize these periods and reduce the resulting costs. For the German Bight, the high-resolution coastal wave model (CWAM) is often used for this purpose. The CWAM is based on WAM (Hasselmann et al. 1988) and was developed by the German Meteorological Service (DWD) and German Maritime and Hydrographic Agency (BSH) in cooperation with the Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon. Compared to other WAM models it offers the advantages of higher resolution, as well as the consideration of current speeds and tide-dependent water depths. The BSH also operates multiple measuring stations in the German Bight, which enable real-time investigation of sea state parameters. The general objective of this study is to compare historical data sets from in situ measurements in the German Bight with numerical forecast data and to identify which factors influence the accuracy of the CWAM and why deviations occur.
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德国海域气象资料与预报资料之比较
在不久的将来,海上风能可以为实现温室气体零排放做出重大贡献。但海上风电场的规划、建设和运营都伴随着高昂的成本。特别是,操作和维护(OandM)成本占主要部分,反过来也取决于工作船舶可以运行的适当天气窗口。准确了解风、海况和海流如何相互影响,以及最准确的发展预测,对于最大化这些时间和降低由此产生的成本至关重要。对于德国湾,高分辨率海岸波模型(CWAM)经常被用于这一目的。CWAM以WAM (Hasselmann et al. 1988)为基础,由德国气象局(DWD)和德国海事和水文局(BSH)与helmholtz - centrum heon合作开发。与其他WAM模型相比,它具有更高的分辨率以及考虑当前速度和潮汐相关的水深的优点。BSH还在德国湾运营多个测量站,可以实时调查海况参数。本研究的总体目标是比较德国湾现场测量的历史数据集与数值预报数据,并确定影响CWAM准确性的因素以及偏差发生的原因。
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