THE IMPLICATIONS OF TRANSITIONAL CLIMATE REGIONS ON COASTAL RISK

Itxaso Odériz, Nobuhito Mori, Rodolfo Silva, Iñigo J. Losada
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Abstract

The latest report of the IPCC-AR6 warned that coastal regions are one of the most vulnerable areas in the current climate emergency. In response, the knowledge concerning projected climatic-impact drivers (total water level, average and extreme waves) is rapidly progressing to reduce future coastal flooding and erosion risks. Climate change also shifts atmospheric circulation and affects the climate regions and their surrounding areas. This study aims to identify transitional wave climate regions and proposes a map of these critical areas. A spatial-temporal and multivariate analysis, based on Machine Learning approaches, was used to classify the wave parameters into climates for the end of the century (2081-2099) under the RCP8.5 scenario.
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过渡性气候区对沿海风险的影响
IPCC-AR6的最新报告警告说,沿海地区是当前气候紧急情况下最脆弱的地区之一。因此,有关预测的气候影响驱动因素(总水位、平均和极端海浪)的知识正在迅速发展,以减少未来沿海洪水和侵蚀的风险。气候变化还会改变大气环流,影响气候区及其周边地区。本研究旨在确定过渡波气候区,并提出这些关键区域的地图。利用基于机器学习方法的时空和多变量分析,将RCP8.5情景下的波浪参数分类为本世纪末(2081-2099)的气候。
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