Analysis of the results of Structural Surveys of russian Business for 2017–2022

L. Yu. Arkhangel’skaya, O. Yu. Sitnikova
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Abstract

The development of business structures with a different scales of activity, as well as individual entrepreneurship (IE) is the basis of the economy of any country, the source of creating highly efficient jobs, the basis for introducing innovations; therefore, in all countries of the world, structural survey programs are implemented annually, including a unified system of indicators — business organizations and individual entrepreneurs act as objects of continuous annual monitoring by national statistical services. In this regard, the purpose of the study — that is to study the patterns of demography of Russian enterprises and changes in their business activity in 2017–2022 — is so relevant. The work used a selective method of observation, methods of dynamic and correlation-regression types of analysis. The authors studied the structure of the totality of Russian business organizations, their distribution by federal districts according to such criteria as the birth rate (economic birth rate), official liquidation (mortality), structural shifts in their demography in 2022 compared to 2017. In the course of the study trends in changes in the levels of fertility and mortality of organizations were determined and short-term forecasts of their values for 2023 were built. The authors also present the results of an analysis of the development of individual entrepreneurship in the Russian Federation for 2017–2021. The results of the study can be used both in territorial statistical services and in Rosstat, and can also be used to train economists, analysts, statisticians in universities of a financial and economic profile, in scientific organizations, in the system of regional and state administration for the development of socio-economic policy.
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2017-2022年俄罗斯商业结构调查结果分析
发展具有不同活动规模的商业结构以及个人企业家精神(IE)是任何国家经济的基础,是创造高效就业机会的来源,是引入创新的基础;因此,在世界上所有国家,每年都实施结构性调查方案,包括统一的指标系统-商业组织和个体企业家作为国家统计部门连续年度监测的对象。在这方面,研究的目的-即研究俄罗斯企业的人口结构模式及其2017-2022年商业活动的变化-是非常相关的。本工作采用了选择性观察法、动态分析方法和相关回归分析方法。作者根据出生率(经济出生率)、官方清算(死亡率)、2022年与2017年相比的人口结构变化等标准,研究了俄罗斯商业组织的总体结构,以及它们在联邦区的分布。在研究过程中,确定了各组织生育率和死亡率水平变化的趋势,并对其2023年的数值进行了短期预测。作者还介绍了2017-2021年俄罗斯联邦个人创业发展的分析结果。这项研究的结果既可用于领土统计部门,也可用于俄罗斯国家统计局,也可用于在具有金融和经济背景的大学、科学组织、区域和国家行政系统中培训经济学家、分析人员和统计人员,以制定社会经济政策。
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审稿时长
8 weeks
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