Spatial convergence and differentiation characteristics of ecological efficiency of forestry carbon sink: Evidence from China

Xiao Zhang , Shunbo Yao
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Abstract

Calculating and analyzing ecological efficiency of forestry carbon sink is key to develop China's forestry carbon sink effectively. This paper utilized super-efficiency stochastic frontier model (SBM) to measure ecological efficiency of forestry carbon sink of 30 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) in China from 2000 to 2017. In addition, this study calculated and analyzed convergence trend by constructing β convergence model under consideration of spatial conditions. Study results were revealed as follows. Firstly, ecological efficiency of China's forestry carbon sink presented a "double peak" distribution characteristic of a steady rise with fluctuations. However, overall level was not high, and large room still existed for improvement. Secondly, a significant spatial convergence existed in ecological efficiency of forestry carbon sink in China. Spatial factors had an accelerating effect on convergence trend, making spatial differences in ecological efficiency of forestry carbon sink among regions further narrowed over time. Thirdly, five major forest regions possessed significant spatial convergence, and convergence rates were higher than national average level. The southwest forest region had the highest convergence rate, followed by the northeast, south, northwest and the North China forest regions. Spatial convergence speeds of two periods from 2000 to 2010 and 2011 to 2017 were higher than classical convergence speed, and shown a decreasing change process. Due to existing of spatial convergence, different regions should explore value realization mechanism of forestry carbon sink, clarify regional positioning, and formulate measures based on local conditions to develop forestry carbon sink.

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林业碳汇生态效率的空间收敛与分异特征:来自中国的证据
计算和分析林业碳汇生态效率是有效发展中国林业碳汇的关键。利用超效率随机前沿模型(SBM)对2000 - 2017年中国30个省(市、自治区)林业碳汇生态效率进行了测度。此外,通过构建考虑空间条件下的β收敛模型,计算并分析了收敛趋势。研究结果如下:首先,中国林业碳汇生态效率呈稳中有升的“双峰”分布特征。但总体水平不高,还有较大的提升空间。②中国林业碳汇生态效率存在显著的空间收敛性;空间因子对森林碳汇生态效率的趋同趋势具有加速作用,使区域间森林碳汇生态效率的空间差异随着时间的推移进一步缩小。5个主要林区具有显著的空间收敛性,且收敛率高于全国平均水平。西南林区的收敛率最高,其次是东北、南方、西北和华北林区。2000—2010年和2011—2017年两个时期的空间收敛速度均高于经典收敛速度,并呈现递减变化过程。由于存在空间收敛性,不同区域应探索林业碳汇的价值实现机制,明确区域定位,因地制宜地制定发展林业碳汇的措施。
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