Investigation of foundation theory of safety & security complexity

Chao Wu
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Abstract

With the continuous emergence of complex safety & security (SS) problems, SS complexity studies have become an inevitable tendency of SS science development. First, evolutions of research paths and objects of SS science in the past 100 years and some typical new viewpoints on SS science research in recent years are briefly summarized in order to prove the necessity of SS complexity studies. Also, multi-dimensional analysis of SS problems is made to show the essential reason why SS complexity studies are required. Then, historical analysis method, reasoning method, induction method, theoretical modeling method and prediction method are used to carry out the following research on the basic theory of the SS complexity: typical methods and principles of SS complexity studies are summarized; core concepts and basic definitions of SS complexity are built; some criteria on judging SS complex issues are put forward; models which can be used to express the SS complexity system are constructed and some controlling strategies for the SS complex system are proposed; and finally, the conclusions and outlooks of SS complexity studies are given. These results are of great significance for enrichment of SS science.

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安全与安保复杂性基础理论研究
随着复杂安全问题的不断涌现,安全科学复杂性研究已成为安全科学发展的必然趋势。首先,简要总结了近百年来安全与安保科学研究路径和对象的演变,以及近年来安全与安保科学研究的一些典型新观点,以证明安全与安保复杂性研究的必要性。同时,通过对 SS 问题的多维分析,说明 SS 复杂性研究之所以必要的根本原因。然后,运用历史分析法、推理法、归纳法、理论建模法和预测法等方法,对党卫军复杂性的基本理论进行了如下研究:总结了党卫军复杂性研究的典型方法和原理;构建了党卫军复杂性的核心概念和基本定义;提出了党卫军复杂性问题的若干判断标准;构建了可用于表达党卫军复杂性系统的模型,并提出了党卫军复杂性系统的若干控制策略;最后,给出了党卫军复杂性研究的结论和展望。这些成果对于丰富 SS 科学具有重要意义。
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