Determining the Bancrupt Contingency as the Level Estimation Method of Western Ukraine Gas Distribution Enterprises’ Competence Capacity

IF 0.6 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE International Journal of Financial Engineering Pub Date : 2023-05-30 DOI:10.37394/232032.2023.1.3
Kostiantyn Pavlov, Olena Pavlova, Nelia Chorna, Roman Chornyi, Oksana Novosad, Anton Demchuk
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Abstract

The purpose of this work is to deepen the methodological provisions and develop practical recommendations with the purpose of increasing the competitiveness level of gas distribution network operators. To achieve this goal by systematizing and unifying different approaches, we developed our own approach to determining the competitiveness level of gas distribution network operators. Nowadays, most approaches and methods are formed with the obligatory use of expert assessment methods, which, in its turn, predetermines relatively subjective judgments and results. The results of our research have proven the significantly increased exigency for measures to prevent possible bankruptcy of gas distribution network operators functioning in the western region of Ukraine with the practical application of both foreign and domestic approaches. In the process of conducting a comprehensive analysis of financial and economic indicators and those reflecting the results of economic activity of gas distribution network operators functioning in the western region of Ukraine, the following approaches have been used in our study with the involvement of: 1) E. Altman’s Two-Factor Model; 2) E. Altman’s Five-Factor Model (Altman, 1977; 2020); 3) R. Lis’s bankruptcy prediction model; 4) Richard Taffler’s model; 5) W. Beaver’s coefficient; 6) O. Tereshchenko’s model; 7) Matviychuk’s model. Ultimately based on the study above, the following conclusions can be drawn as a method of assessing the of gas distribution network operators’ competitiveness: the existing models for diagnosing bankruptcy of enterprises are characterized by ambiguity; as for example, if R. Lis’s model indicates a low bankruptcy level, then other models prove the opposite situation; domestic diagnostic models need to be improved, as they were developed in the early 2000s and disregard current trends in functioning of enterprises. The article examines the methodological approaches to the level of competitiveness assessment of gas distribution network operators functioning in Ukraine. In our opinion, this fully corresponds to the thematic focus of the journal.
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确定破产偶然性作为西乌克兰天然气分销企业能力水平估计方法
这项工作的目的是深化方法规定并制定实用建议,以提高天然气分销网络运营商的竞争力水平。为了通过系统化和统一不同的方法来实现这一目标,我们开发了自己的方法来确定天然气分销网络运营商的竞争力水平。目前,大多数方法和方法都是在强制使用专家评估方法的基础上形成的,而专家评估方法又预先确定了相对主观的判断和结果。我们的研究结果证明,通过国外和国内方法的实际应用,采取措施防止乌克兰西部地区运行的天然气分销网络运营商可能破产的紧迫性大大增加。在对财务和经济指标以及反映乌克兰西部地区天然气分销网络运营商经济活动结果的指标进行综合分析的过程中,我们在研究中使用了以下方法,涉及:1)E. Altman的双因素模型;2) E. Altman的五因素模型(Altman, 1977;2020);3) R. Lis破产预测模型;4) Richard Taffler的模型;5) W.比弗系数;6) O. Tereshchenko的模型;7) Matviychuk的模型。最终,基于上述研究,可以得出以下结论,作为评价配气网络运营商竞争力的一种方法:现有的企业破产诊断模型具有模糊性;例如,如果R. Lis的模型表明破产水平较低,那么其他模型则证明了相反的情况;国内的诊断模型需要改进,因为它们是在21世纪初开发的,忽视了当前企业运作的趋势。本文考察了在乌克兰运作的天然气分销网络运营商的竞争力评估水平的方法方法。我们认为,这完全符合本刊的专题重点。
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