Global Inflation Uncertainty and its Economic Effects

FEDS Notes Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.17016/2380-7172.3391
Juan M. Londono, Sai Ma, Beth Anne Wilson
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Abstract

Policymakers, including Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) participants, have been stressing the elevated level of uncertainty, especially related to inflation, and the challenge this poses for monetary policy. As seen in Figure 1, with few exceptions, FOMC participants see the level of uncertainty around their forecasts for core PCE inflation as high, compared to the average over the past 20 years.
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全球通胀不确定性及其经济影响
包括联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)参与者在内的政策制定者一直在强调不确定性的上升,尤其是与通胀相关的不确定性,以及这对货币政策构成的挑战。如图1所示,除了少数例外,FOMC参与者认为,与过去20年的平均水平相比,他们对核心个人消费支出通胀预测的不确定性水平很高。
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