Portfolio risk allocation through Shapley value

IF 0.6 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE International Journal of Financial Engineering Pub Date : 2023-04-08 DOI:10.1142/s2424786323500044
Patrick S. Hagan, Andrew Lesniewski, Georgios E. Skoufis, Diana E. Woodward
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Abstract

We argue that using the Shapley value of cooperative game theory as the scheme for risk allocation among non-orthogonal risk factors is a natural way of interpreting the contribution made by each of such factors to overall portfolio risk. We discuss a Shapley value scheme for allocating risk to non-orthogonal greeks in a portfolio of derivatives. Such a situation arises, for example, when using a stochastic volatility model to capture option volatility smile. We also show that Shapley value allows for a natural method of interpreting components of enterprise risk measures such as VaR and ES. For all applications discussed, we derive explicit formulas and/or numerical algorithms to calculate the allocations.
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基于Shapley值的投资组合风险分配
我们认为,利用合作博弈论的Shapley值作为非正交风险因素之间的风险分配方案,是解释每个这些因素对总体投资组合风险的贡献的一种自然方式。讨论了衍生品组合中非正交希腊人风险分配的Shapley值格式。例如,当使用随机波动率模型捕捉期权波动率微笑时,就会出现这种情况。我们还表明,Shapley值允许一种自然的方法来解释企业风险度量的组成部分,如VaR和ES。对于所讨论的所有应用,我们推导出明确的公式和/或数值算法来计算分配。
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