An Analysis of Economic Determinants of Food Imports in Nigeria

Florence Essien, Ettah Essien
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Abstract

The study examined the economic determinants of food import in Nigeria. It used secondary data which were drawn from various sources including Food and Agriculture Statistical Facts, Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, and World Hunger Index. The data spanned between 1981 and 2021. Descriptive and econometric (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) methods were employed for data analysis. Findings showed that in Nigeria, exchange rate and domestic food production significantly affected food imports. Production of domestic agricultural inputs should, therefore, be encouraged through appropriate technology development. An increase in quality domestic agricultural inputs will bring about a decrease in the importation of agricultural inputs, thus reducing the influence of the exchange rate on agricultural production. Intensification of agriculture, therefore, should be encouraged more at the three levels of government through adequate and sustained support to farmers especially in the rural areas. This will increase domestic food production and will discourage food import.
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尼日利亚粮食进口的经济决定因素分析
这项研究调查了尼日利亚粮食进口的经济决定因素。它使用的二手数据来自各种来源,包括粮食和农业统计事实、尼日利亚中央银行统计公报和世界饥饿指数。这些数据的时间跨度为1981年至2021年。采用描述性和计量经济学(自回归分布滞后)方法进行数据分析。调查结果显示,在尼日利亚,汇率和国内粮食生产显著影响粮食进口。因此,应通过适当的技术发展鼓励国内农业投入的生产。国内优质农业投入的增加将减少农业投入的进口,从而减少汇率对农业生产的影响。因此,应通过对农民特别是农村地区农民的充分和持续的支持,在三级政府中更多地鼓励农业集约化。这将增加国内粮食生产,并将阻碍粮食进口。
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