Risk Perceptions and Private Protective Behaviors: Evidence from COVID-19 Pandemic

M. Kate Bundorf, Jill DeMatteis, Grant Miller, Maria Polyakova, Jialu L. Streeter, Jonathan Wivagg
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Abstract

Abstract We analyze data from a survey we administered during the COVID19 pandemic to investigate the relationship between people's subjective beliefs about risks and their private protective behaviors. On average, people substantially overestimate the absolute level of risk associated with economic activity, but have directionally correct signals about their relative risk based on their demographic characteristics. Subjective risk beliefs are predictive of changes in economic activities independently of government policies. Government mandates restricting economic behavior, in turn, attenuate the relationship between subjective risk beliefs and protective behaviors.
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风险认知和私人保护行为:来自COVID-19大流行的证据
我们分析了我们在covid - 19大流行期间进行的一项调查的数据,以调查人们对风险的主观信念与他们的私人保护行为之间的关系。平均而言,人们大大高估了与经济活动相关的绝对风险水平,但根据他们的人口特征,他们对相对风险的方向性信号是正确的。主观风险信念是独立于政府政策的经济活动变化的预测。反过来,限制经济行为的政府指令削弱了主观风险信念与保护行为之间的关系。
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