Implementing an Automated Prediction Model to Improve Prescribing of HIV Preexposure Prophylaxis

Douglas S. Krakower, Michael Lieberman, Miguel Marino, Jun Hwang, Kenneth H. Mayer, Julia L. Marcus
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Abstract

SummaryAntiretroviral preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is nearly 100% effective at decreasing HIV acquisition but is underused in priority populations. Primary care clinicians need tools to help them identify persons likely to benefit from PrEP use and prescribe it when appropriate. The researchers developed and validated an automated decision support tool with interactive alerts in the electronic health record to increase PrEP discussions and prescribing in primary care. They piloted the tool at three federally qualified health centers and assessed feasibility, acceptance by clinicians, and preliminary impact on PrEP care. Of 33,803 patients who visited the pilot clinics from July 2022 through January 2023, providers received PrEP alerts at the point of care for 2.2% of patients, demonstrating feasibility. Although numbers of PrEP prescriptions remained low, the proportion of all patients with new PrEP prescriptions was 4.5 times higher at pilot clinics compared with matched control clinics (0.09% vs. 0.02%). Implementation of the decision support tool was associated with a statistically nonsignificant 5.5% increase in HIV tests per 100 patients. In qualitative interviews, providers said the tool facilitated PrEP discussions with patients, particularly for those patients who would not have initiated discussions because of stigma. The researchers found that acceptance, use, and impact of machine-learning models for PrEP depends on collaborating with and building trust among providers, including blending a data-driven approach to identifying patients at increased risk for HIV acquisition with providers’ traditional decision-making framework. These approaches could be useful for health care organizations seeking to implement automated prediction models across all areas of medicine.
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应用自动预测模型改进HIV暴露前预防处方
抗逆转录病毒暴露前预防(PrEP)在减少艾滋病毒感染方面几乎100%有效,但在重点人群中使用不足。初级保健临床医生需要工具来帮助他们识别可能从PrEP使用中受益的人,并在适当的时候开处方。研究人员开发并验证了一种自动决策支持工具,该工具具有电子健康记录中的交互式警报,以增加初级保健中的PrEP讨论和处方。他们在三家获得联邦认证的医疗中心试用了该工具,并评估了可行性、临床医生的接受程度以及对PrEP护理的初步影响。在2022年7月至2023年1月期间访问试点诊所的33,803名患者中,有2.2%的患者在护理点收到了PrEP警报,证明了可行性。虽然PrEP处方数量仍然很低,但试点诊所所有患者新处方的比例是匹配对照诊所的4.5倍(0.09%对0.02%)。决策支持工具的实施与每100名患者艾滋病毒检测增加5.5%的统计学意义无关。在定性访谈中,提供者表示,该工具促进了与患者的PrEP讨论,特别是对于那些因污名而不会发起讨论的患者。研究人员发现,PrEP机器学习模型的接受、使用和影响取决于与提供者之间的合作和建立信任,包括将数据驱动的方法与提供者的传统决策框架相结合,以识别感染艾滋病毒风险增加的患者。这些方法对于寻求在所有医学领域实现自动预测模型的卫生保健组织是有用的。
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