Survival and Analysis of Predictors of Mortality in Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis in a Rural Hospital in Puducherry, India: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Ravi Kumar P, V Vinayagmoorthy, Amol Dongre, Pradeep Deshmukh
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Abstract

Background: Despite the advent of dialysis technology, the survival of patients on hemodialysis (HD) is not encouraging. There is little information available regarding the prognostic factors of HD, its population characteristics, or outcomes in India. Objectives: We attempted to describe the profile of patients on HD, estimate the mean days of their survival and to determine the various factors associated with their survival. Materials and Methods: It was a retrospective cohort study conducted on patients who were on maintenance HD, registered during the five-year period between 1 st January 2014 and 31 st December 2018 in a tertiary care teaching hospital in Rural Puducherry, South India. Demographic, hematological, biochemical, electrocardiographic, echocardiographic parameters and death during follow-up were extracted from the dialysis database after de-identification. The survival rate was calculated using Kaplan- Meir Curves and Cox Regression analysis was done to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio. Results: The median survival of the 229 eligible patients on HD was 819 days. Cardiac pathology accounted for 25.7% of those deaths and 33.9% was sudden death. Adjusted Cox proportional model showed the presence of Left Ventricular Hypertrophy (LVH) (HR: 78.1), increase in phosphorus (HR: 1.26), decrease in haemoglobin (HR: 0.78), and decrease in serum albumin (HR: 0.52) were significant bad prognostic factors. Conclusion: Screening for LVH, anemia, hypoaluminemia and hyperphosphatemia amongst HD patients and managing them to prevent these bad prognostic factors has the potential to improve their survival.
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印度普杜切里农村医院血液透析患者的生存和死亡率预测因素分析:一项回顾性队列研究
背景:尽管透析技术的出现,但血液透析(HD)患者的生存率并不令人鼓舞。在印度,关于HD的预后因素、人群特征或预后的信息很少。目的:我们试图描述HD患者的概况,估计他们的平均生存天数,并确定与他们的生存相关的各种因素。材料和方法:这是一项回顾性队列研究,研究对象是2014年1月1日至2018年12月31日在印度南部普杜切里农村一家三级医疗教学医院登记的维持性HD患者。去识别后,从透析数据库中提取人口统计学、血液学、生化、心电图、超声心动图参数和随访期间的死亡情况。生存率采用Kaplan- Meir曲线计算,校正风险比采用Cox回归分析。结果:229例符合条件的HD患者的中位生存期为819天。其中心脏病理死亡占25.7%,猝死占33.9%。校正Cox比例模型显示,左室肥厚(LVH) (HR: 78.1)、磷升高(HR: 1.26)、血红蛋白降低(HR: 0.78)、血清白蛋白降低(HR: 0.52)是显著的不良预后因素。结论:在HD患者中筛查LVH、贫血、低铝血症和高磷血症,并对其进行管理以预防这些不良预后因素,有可能提高患者的生存率。
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