The Alternative Scenarios for the Digital Future

Volodymyr V. Plakhotnyuk
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Abstract

The aim of the article is to study the impact of digitalization on economic, sociocultural and political processes in society, as well as to search for alternative scenarios for the development of digital society. Digitalization today is an effective indicator of the development of society, which provides many people with ease in carrying out their daily activities. The usefulness of digitalization for society today is confirmed in almost all aspects of human life – from production and doing business to communication and mobility. However, in today's society there is no clear understanding of the further development of humanity in the context of rapid technological advances, and there is even more lack of an idea of what the role of a person in the digital world will be. Analyzing this issue, we have worked out a number of versions and views – from scientifically progressive to fantastic-utopian – in order to understand the optimal scenario for the development of digital society. Today, the world has entered the era of Industry 4.0, that is, the era that is based on new technologies. Technologies are increasingly becoming able to replace humans in every field of industry, education, science, and everyday life issues of society. The study showed that today there is no consensus in society about what the future world will look like under the influence of digitalization and the spread of artificial intelligence (AI). This raises the question of the role of man in the light of technological change. In order to find the optimal scenario for the development of humanity in the era of digitalization and the formation of AI, we analyzed the main views that prevail among scientists and in society in general, and singled out our own vision of the role of humans in the era of digitalization. The fundamentals of the theory of technological singularity and transhumanism are analyzed. It is found that the negative consequences of technological progress can be generalized as two major problems. The first is that humans will lose control over technology, because AI will begin to develop on its own so quickly that it will become incomprehensible to humans. The second is a change in global humanistic concepts, at the center of which are a person and the appropriate moral values.
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数字未来的可选方案
本文的目的是研究数字化对社会中经济、社会文化和政治进程的影响,并为数字社会的发展寻找替代方案。数字化是当今社会发展的一个有效指标,它为许多人进行日常活动提供了便利。数字化对当今社会的有用性在人类生活的几乎所有方面都得到了证实——从生产和商业到通信和移动。然而,在当今社会,在科技飞速发展的背景下,人们对人类的进一步发展没有明确的认识,更缺乏一个人在数字世界中扮演什么角色的想法。在分析这个问题时,我们提出了许多版本和观点——从科学进步到幻想乌托邦——以了解数字社会发展的最佳方案。今天,世界已经进入了工业4.0时代,即以新技术为基础的时代。技术越来越能够在工业、教育、科学和社会日常生活问题的各个领域取代人类。该研究表明,在数字化和人工智能(AI)普及的影响下,未来世界将是什么样子,目前社会上没有达成共识。这就提出了在技术变革的背景下人的作用的问题。为了寻找人类在数字化时代发展和人工智能形成的最佳场景,我们分析了科学家和社会普遍存在的主要观点,并挑出了我们自己对数字化时代人类角色的看法。分析了技术奇点理论和超人类主义理论的基本原理。研究发现,技术进步的负面后果可以概括为两大问题。第一种是人类将失去对技术的控制,因为人工智能将开始自行快速发展,以至于人类无法理解。二是全球人文主义观念的转变,人本主义观念的核心是人与道德价值观。
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发文量
68
审稿时长
6 weeks
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