Overcoming Crises of 2008 and 2020 by Developed and Developing Countries: Comparative Analysis

Olga Alekhina, Svetlana Plyasova, Svetlana Yazykova, Elena Fedotova
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Abstract

Today the socio-economic development suffers from a high level of uncertainty and a large number of global changes. The purpose of the study is to compare how modern crises affected on the economies of developed and developing countries and to assess economies’ weak points and capabilities to recover. The authors analyzed the dynamics of developed and developing countries’ real gross domestic ptoduct in 2001–2021 and identified the 2 most significant crisis periods. A comparative analysis of inflation rates shows that during the pandemic inflation growth was more gradual than in 2008; more restrained in developed countries than in developing countries. A comparative analysis of gross domestic ptoduct level indicators in 2007–2021 in the developed countries, G7 countries and developing countries substantiates that the COVID-19 pandemic crisis led to less serious consequences for the world economy than the global economic crisis of 2008 due to the population and business support programs, implementated by state institutions on an unprecedented scale. According to the analyzed indicators, developing countries’ reaction to crises is more restrained, recovery in the post-crisis period is faster. However, the primary reason for this is the implementation of the global rescue program for developing economies by developed countries. The article presents recommendations on ensuring the post-pandemic recovery of the economies of developed and developing countries.
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发达国家和发展中国家克服2008年和2020年危机的比较分析
今天,社会经济发展受到高度不确定性和大量全球变化的影响。这项研究的目的是比较现代危机对发达国家和发展中国家经济的影响,并评估经济的弱点和复苏能力。作者分析了2001-2021年发达国家和发展中国家实际国内生产总值的动态,并确定了两个最严重的危机时期。对通货膨胀率的比较分析表明,大流行期间的通货膨胀增长比2008年更为缓慢;发达国家比发展中国家更受限制。对发达国家、七国集团国家和发展中国家2007-2021年国内生产总值水平指标的比较分析表明,由于国家机构以前所未有的规模实施了人口和企业支持计划,2019冠状病毒病大流行危机对世界经济造成的影响不如2008年全球经济危机严重。从分析的指标来看,发展中国家对危机的反应更为克制,危机后时期的复苏速度更快。然而,造成这种情况的主要原因是发达国家对发展中经济体实施全球救助计划。这篇文章提出了关于确保发达国家和发展中国家经济在大流行后复苏的建议。
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审稿时长
26 weeks
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