The Effects of FDI inflows into Korea’s 16 Metropolitan Cities and Provinces on Regional Growth

Won-Seok Choi, Woong Eun
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 Design/Methodology/Approach - This study analyzed the impact of FDI flows into 16 metropolitan cities and provinces on regional economic growth by applying the FMOLS model after organizing panel time series data from 1998 to 2021.
 Findings - As a result of estimation through the Panel FMOLS model, when RFDI inflows to all metropolitan cities and provinces increased by 1%, GRDP increased by 0.21% on average in the long run. However, 12 individual metropolitan cities and provinces, which were statistically significant, showed different degrees of impact on growth. when RFDI inflows increased by 1%, GRDP showed various estimation results from lowest +0.09% (Ulsan) to the highest +0.93% (Gyeonggi). In addition, Ulsan (-0.12%p), Gangwon (-0.05%p), and Jeju (-0.11%p) fell below the overall average estimates as a result of comparing and analyzing growth differences between the average estimates of all metropolitan cities and provinces, and 12 individual metropolitan cities and provinces. This means that even if there is a positive growth of GRDP due to RFDI inflows, the ripple effect varies considerably between regions.
 Research Implications - Metropolitan cities and provinces should promote the growth of GRDP by reorganizing the industrial structure to attract high-tech industries, sharing skilled manpower in the metropolitan economy, and converting to SOC for technological innovation.","PeriodicalId":166989,"journal":{"name":"Korea International Trade Research Institute","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Korea International Trade Research Institute","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.16980/jitc.19.4.202308.229","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract

Purpose - This study aimed to analyze the long-term effects of FDI inflows into 16 metropolitan cities and provinces on the economic growth of individual regions, and to compare and analyze differences in regional performance through these estimates. Design/Methodology/Approach - This study analyzed the impact of FDI flows into 16 metropolitan cities and provinces on regional economic growth by applying the FMOLS model after organizing panel time series data from 1998 to 2021. Findings - As a result of estimation through the Panel FMOLS model, when RFDI inflows to all metropolitan cities and provinces increased by 1%, GRDP increased by 0.21% on average in the long run. However, 12 individual metropolitan cities and provinces, which were statistically significant, showed different degrees of impact on growth. when RFDI inflows increased by 1%, GRDP showed various estimation results from lowest +0.09% (Ulsan) to the highest +0.93% (Gyeonggi). In addition, Ulsan (-0.12%p), Gangwon (-0.05%p), and Jeju (-0.11%p) fell below the overall average estimates as a result of comparing and analyzing growth differences between the average estimates of all metropolitan cities and provinces, and 12 individual metropolitan cities and provinces. This means that even if there is a positive growth of GRDP due to RFDI inflows, the ripple effect varies considerably between regions. Research Implications - Metropolitan cities and provinces should promote the growth of GRDP by reorganizing the industrial structure to attract high-tech industries, sharing skilled manpower in the metropolitan economy, and converting to SOC for technological innovation.
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韩国16个广域市、道的FDI流入对地区增长的影响
目的-本研究旨在分析16个省会城市FDI流入对个别地区经济增长的长期影响,并通过这些估算比较和分析区域绩效的差异。 设计/方法/方法-本研究在整理1998 - 2021年面板时间序列数据后,运用FMOLS模型分析了16个大城市和省份的FDI流入对区域经济增长的影响。 研究结果-通过面板FMOLS模型估计,当所有大城市和省份的RFDI流入增加1%时,从长期来看,GRDP平均增长0.21%。但是,个别的12个广域市和道对增长的影响程度不同。RFDI流入每增加1%,GRDP的预测值从最低的+0.09%(蔚山)到最高的+0.93%(京畿)不等。另外,蔚山(-0.12%p)、江原(-0.05%p)、济州(-0.11%p)等地对全国广域市和个别广域市的平均增长率预测值进行了对比分析,结果均低于整体预测值。这意味着,即使RFDI流入使gdp出现正增长,各地区之间的连锁反应也存在很大差异。▽研究结果=广域市和道应通过调整产业结构,吸引尖端产业、共享广域经济的技术人力、转换为SOC进行技术革新等方式,促进GRDP的增长。
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