The asymmetric and long-run effect of demand-based CO2 emissions productivity on production-based CO2 emissions in the UK

IF 4 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Energy & Environment Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI:10.1177/0958305x231204958
Dervis Kirikkaleli, Kwaku Addai
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Abstract

Trade effects on atmospheric air contamination of countries have received increasing global policy focus over the past few decades. The United Kingdom is committed to changing the complexities in international trade, current pathways to economic output pursuit, and carbon dioxide emission toward realizing the goals of the Paris Agreement and Kyoto Protocol. This research is motivated to explore the asymmetric long-run impact of demand-based CO 2 emissions productivity on production-based CO 2 emissions for the UK economy. Data for this assessment was drawn from 1990 to 2019 and analyzed using Gregory-Hansen cointegration, nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL), and frequency domain causality techniques. Gregory-Hansen estimates for cointegration provide integration evidence for all variables. Estimates for NARDL long-run cointegration indicate (i) demand-based CO 2 emissions productivity is a credible variable that contributes to reducing production-based CO 2 emissions in the UK; (ii) both economic output and globalization contribute in rising production-based CO 2 emissions in the UK; and (iii) the frequency domain causality test indicates one direction causality from demand-based CO 2 emissions productivity, output, globalization, and consumption of green energy to production-based CO 2 emissions in the UK.
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以需求为基础的二氧化碳排放生产率对英国以生产为基础的二氧化碳排放的不对称和长期影响
过去几十年来,贸易对各国大气污染的影响日益受到全球政策的关注。英国致力于改变国际贸易的复杂性、当前追求经济产出的途径和二氧化碳排放,以实现《巴黎协定》和《京都议定书》的目标。本研究的动机是探索基于需求的二氧化碳排放生产率对英国经济基于生产的二氧化碳排放的不对称长期影响。该评估的数据来自1990年至2019年,并使用Gregory-Hansen协整、非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)和频域因果关系技术进行分析。格雷戈里-汉森协整估计为所有变量提供了整合证据。对NARDL长期协整的估计表明(i)基于需求的二氧化碳排放生产率是一个可靠的变量,有助于减少英国基于生产的二氧化碳排放;(ii)经济产出和全球化都导致了英国基于生产的二氧化碳排放量的增加;(3)频域因果检验表明,英国基于需求的二氧化碳排放生产率、产出、全球化和绿色能源消费与基于生产的二氧化碳排放之间存在单向因果关系。
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来源期刊
Energy & Environment
Energy & Environment ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
7.10%
发文量
157
期刊介绍: Energy & Environment is an interdisciplinary journal inviting energy policy analysts, natural scientists and engineers, as well as lawyers and economists to contribute to mutual understanding and learning, believing that better communication between experts will enhance the quality of policy, advance social well-being and help to reduce conflict. The journal encourages dialogue between the social sciences as energy demand and supply are observed and analysed with reference to politics of policy-making and implementation. The rapidly evolving social and environmental impacts of energy supply, transport, production and use at all levels require contribution from many disciplines if policy is to be effective. In particular E & E invite contributions from the study of policy delivery, ultimately more important than policy formation. The geopolitics of energy are also important, as are the impacts of environmental regulations and advancing technologies on national and local politics, and even global energy politics. Energy & Environment is a forum for constructive, professional information sharing, as well as debate across disciplines and professions, including the financial sector. Mathematical articles are outside the scope of Energy & Environment. The broader policy implications of submitted research should be addressed and environmental implications, not just emission quantities, be discussed with reference to scientific assumptions. This applies especially to technical papers based on arguments suggested by other disciplines, funding bodies or directly by policy-makers.
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