Testing the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in Offshore Fisheries

Yong-Han JEON
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Abstract

This study analyzes the relationship between fishery revenue and greenhouse gas(GHG) emissions of offshore fisheries in preparation for achieving carbon negative in the fisheries sector and proposes policy improvements based on the results. To this end, the seemingly unrelated regression(SUR) model was used to estimate the environmental Kuznets curve(EKC) by gear of offshore fisheries. In addition, the turning point of fishery revenue was measured for gears adopting the EKC hypothesis. As a result, the EKC hypothesis was adopted for offshore stow net, offshore gill net, offshore trap, anchovy drag net, and large otter trawl. Among these gears, only offshore gill net exceeded the turning point of fishery revenue and was in a state of decoupling of GHG emissions. In other words, it was analyzed that offshore gill net was already in the phase of environmental improvement. Thus, for gears that have not exceeded the turning point of fishery revenue to enter the environmental improvement phase, the government must expand the scale of the fishing vessel reduction program and supply energy saving hybrid fishing vessel. Also, research and development of fishing gear that can reduce underwater resistance should be continued, and policy establishment to reduce the scale of the fleet is needed.
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近海渔业环境库兹涅茨曲线假设的检验
本研究分析了渔业收入与近海渔业温室气体(GHG)排放之间的关系,为渔业部门实现碳负排放做准备,并根据研究结果提出了政策改进建议。为此,采用看似不相关回归(SUR)模型对近海渔场的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)进行估算。此外,采用EKC假设,对年渔业收入拐点进行了测度。结果表明,近海拖网、近海刺网、近海陷阱、鳀鱼拖网、大型水獭拖网均采用EKC假设。其中,只有近海刺网超过渔业收入拐点,与温室气体排放处于脱钩状态。也就是说,分析近海刺网已经处于环境改善阶段。因此,对于尚未超过渔业收入拐点进入环境改善阶段的年份,政府必须扩大渔船减少计划的规模,并提供节能的混合动力渔船。此外,应继续研究和开发可以减少水下阻力的渔具,并制定政策以缩小船队的规模。
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