Strategic Decisions and Policies on Türkiye-Europe Air Cargo Transport

Hüseyin Önder ALDEMİR, Cem ERSÖZ
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Abstract

This study examines the air cargo traffic in terms of transported cargo weights between Europe and Türkiye in the 10-year period between 2012 and 2021. Annual data was obtained from EUROSTAT and then this data was processed by using R language and Minitab. Freight tonne kilometers (FTKs) growth analyses for the World, Europe and Türkiye were done by fitting exponential curves to the data. Forecast for cargo traffic between Türkiye and Europe were done using exponential smoothing with trend adjustment method. The results reveal the strategic decisions for determining airport pairs in air cargo transport between Europe and Türkiye. It has been determined that there is air cargo transportation between 11 airports from Türkiye and 90 airports from 31 European countries. The most striking result of this study is that while Istanbul IGA airport serves as the main hub for air cargo transportation with other airports in Europe, Sabiha Gökçen airport has been on the way to become a secondary hub in recent years with the strategic agreements between airports. The transported air cargo weight between remaining 8 airports (since Atatürk airport closed to air cargo in 2022) in Türkiye and European airports is negligible. Determinants of choosing these airports might possibly be geographic locations, political relations with these countries, specific products of these locations, closeness to the industrial regions.
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航空货运战略决策与政策
本研究考察了2012年至2021年10年间欧洲和土耳其之间的航空货运量运输货物重量。从EUROSTAT获得年度数据,然后使用R语言和Minitab对这些数据进行处理。通过拟合指数曲线对数据进行了全球、欧洲和全球货运吨公里(FTKs)增长分析。采用指数平滑和趋势调整方法对德国与欧洲之间的货运量进行预测。研究结果揭示了确定欧洲和土耳其之间航空货运机场对的战略决策。已经确定,在乌克兰的11个机场和31个欧洲国家的90个机场之间有航空货物运输。这项研究最引人注目的结果是,虽然伊斯坦布尔IGA机场与欧洲其他机场一起作为航空货运的主要枢纽,但萨比哈Gökçen机场近年来随着机场之间的战略协议而成为第二枢纽。在俄罗斯剩余的8个机场(自atatat机场于2022年关闭航空货运)和欧洲机场之间运输的航空货物重量可以忽略不计。选择这些机场的决定因素可能是地理位置,与这些国家的政治关系,这些地方的特定产品,靠近工业区。
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