Population Growth and Climate Change: Implications for Human Development in Pakistan

Kainat Batool, Izhar Ahmad Khan, Naveed Farah, Muhammad Hassan Safdar, Najaf Hussain
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Abstract

The study examines how population growth and climate change affect human development in Pakistan. The rapid population growth and escalating climate change impacts in the country necessitate an understanding of their implications for human development. The study utilized time series data from 1990 to 2020 and employed descriptive analysis, an Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, a unit root test, and a bounds test for cointegration to analyze the data. The study considered the variables for analysis, such as Human Development, Climate change, and Population growth. The findings revealed that population growth and climate change have significantly influenced human development outcomes in Pakistan, with higher population growth and climate change leading to lower human development levels in the long run. The implications of the study underscored the need for urgent action to address the negative impacts of rapid population growth and climate change on human development in Pakistan. The study derived several suggestions from the findings, including implementing a family planning program, investing in education, promoting climate change awareness campaigns, integrating climate change considerations into national policies, empowering local communities, and encouraging research and innovations in sustainable development and climate change adaptation.
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人口增长和气候变化:对巴基斯坦人类发展的影响
该研究调查了人口增长和气候变化如何影响巴基斯坦的人类发展。该国人口的迅速增长和气候变化的影响日益加剧,有必要了解它们对人类发展的影响。本研究利用1990 - 2020年的时间序列数据,采用描述性分析、自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型、单位根检验和协整界检验对数据进行分析。该研究考虑了人类发展、气候变化和人口增长等变量进行分析。调查结果显示,人口增长和气候变化对巴基斯坦的人类发展成果产生了重大影响,从长远来看,较高的人口增长和气候变化导致较低的人类发展水平。这项研究的影响强调需要采取紧急行动,解决巴基斯坦人口快速增长和气候变化对人类发展的负面影响。该研究从调查结果中得出了一些建议,包括实施计划生育项目、投资教育、促进气候变化意识运动、将气候变化考虑纳入国家政策、赋予地方社区权力、鼓励可持续发展和适应气候变化方面的研究和创新。
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