Investigation of all-cause mortality and associated factors in patients diagnosed with COVID-19: A Cohort Study

Ahmet Furkan SÜNER, Ahmet Naci EMECEN, Salih KESKİN, Neslişah ŞİYVE, Ecem BAŞOĞLU ŞENSOY, Öykü TURUNÇ, Belgin ÜNAL
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Abstract

Objective: This study aims to investigate the extent and associated factors of all-cause mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19 in a hospital for over a one-year follow-up period. Methods: This cohort study was conducted on the patients who applied and tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 in the Dokuz Eylul University Hospital which is a large tertiary healthcare facility in Izmir, Turkey, between 19.03.2020 and 31.05.2021. The study included 8955 adult patients with a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression models were used to examine the relationships between demographic and clinical characteristics and mortality. Results: The cumulative all-cause mortality rate was 4.7% in Covid 19 patients. Patients over 80 years old had a significantly higher risk of death compared to those younger than 50 years old (aHR:22.3; 95% CI: 10.4-47.7). Current or ex-smokers had a higher risk of death compared to non-smokers (aHR: 1.6; 95% CI: 1.1-2.4). Patients without any complaints before diagnosis had a higher risk of death compared to those with three or more complaints (aHR: 1.7; 95% CI: 1.2-2.6). Patients hospitalized in the intensive care unit had a significantly higher risk of death compared to outpatients (aHR: 62.3; 95% CI: 37.6-101.9). Conclusions: In COVID-19 patients, the cumulative all-cause mortality rate was 4.7%; age, smoking, having a chronic disease, number of complaints prior to diagnosis, and admission status were identified as independent risk factors. Elderly people with chronic diseases need to be prioritized for preventive measures.
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COVID-19患者全因死亡率及相关因素调查:一项队列研究
目的:本研究旨在调查某医院诊断为COVID-19的患者1年以上随访期间全因死亡率的程度及相关因素。方法:本队列研究于2020年3月19日至2021年5月31日在土耳其伊兹密尔的大型三级医疗机构Dokuz Eylul大学医院申请并检测为SARS-CoV-2阳性的患者进行。该研究包括8955例SARS-CoV-2 PCR检测阳性的成年患者。Kaplan-Meier生存分析和Cox回归模型用于检验人口学和临床特征与死亡率之间的关系。结果:新冠肺炎患者累计全因死亡率为4.7%。80岁以上患者的死亡风险明显高于50岁以下患者(aHR:22.3;95% ci: 10.4-47.7)。与不吸烟者相比,当前吸烟者或曾经吸烟者的死亡风险更高(aHR: 1.6;95% ci: 1.1-2.4)。诊断前无任何主诉的患者比有三种或三种以上主诉的患者死亡风险更高(aHR: 1.7;95% ci: 1.2-2.6)。重症监护病房住院患者的死亡风险明显高于门诊患者(aHR: 62.3;95% ci: 37.6-101.9)。结论:COVID-19患者累积全因死亡率为4.7%;年龄、吸烟、患有慢性疾病、诊断前的主诉次数和入院状况被确定为独立的危险因素。患有慢性病的老年人需要优先采取预防措施。
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审稿时长
17 weeks
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