Exogenous Shock and Citizen’s Satisfaction with Government Policies: A Functional Data Analysis Approach to Investigate the Role of Previous Financial Crisis and COVID-19

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Abstract

The current study examine the extent to which the previous financial crisis affected the level of individual’s approval with government policies in specific three areas: the economy, health and education during this pandemic situation of COVID-19. Data from the European social survey including 14 countries, approximately 195000 observations. Follow up to time series regression, respondents satisfaction level reduce with government economy policy after the crisis, while satisfaction increase for health and education policies. Separate regression for each country confirmed a reliable outline of behavior transpires, although short-range effect on satisfaction was negative and long-standing effect on satisfaction was positive reported. The modification of short-term effect into negative may be due to the effective government policies to overcome the adverse effects of crisis. The pandemic situation of COVID-19 has forced the government to revise the economic, health and educational policies before implantation. Results declared that current crises in third sector also have past influences of financial crisis as well as COVID-19 impact was also recorded.
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外生冲击与公民对政府政策的满意度:一种功能数据分析方法来研究以往金融危机和COVID-19的作用
目前的研究考察了在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,上一次金融危机在多大程度上影响了个人对政府在具体三个领域(经济、卫生和教育)政策的认可程度。数据来自欧洲社会调查,包括14个国家,大约19.5万个观察结果。时间序列回归结果显示,危机后受访者对政府经济政策的满意度下降,对卫生和教育政策的满意度上升。虽然对满意度的短期影响是负面的,而对满意度的长期影响是积极的,但每个国家的单独回归证实了行为的可靠轮廓。短期效应变为负面效应可能是由于政府采取了有效的政策来克服危机的不利影响。由于新冠疫情,政府不得不在实施前修改经济、保健、教育政策。结果表明,除了新冠疫情的影响外,目前的第三部门危机也有过去金融危机的影响。
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