Understanding the pricing of currency risk in global equity markets

IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Multinational Financial Management Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.mulfin.2021.100727
G. Andrew Karolyi , Ying Wu
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Abstract

This paper explores potential economic mechanisms through which fluctuations in exchange rates are priced in international stock returns. Our investigation focuses on two currency risk factors – a dollar-risk factor and a carry-trade-risk factor – and their explanatory power for a variety of test assets comprised of monthly returns for over 47,000 stocks from 46 countries and over four decades. We find that currency risk is more likely to be priced among firms producing tradeable goods, and especially during periods of heightened exchange rate volatility. This finding is robust with respect to the evaluating criteria on firm internationalization, the benchmark factor models chosen, and the sub-periods examined.

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了解全球股票市场的货币风险定价
本文探讨了汇率波动在国际股票收益中定价的潜在经济机制。我们的调查重点是两个货币风险因素——美元风险因素和套息交易风险因素——以及它们对各种测试资产的解释能力,这些测试资产包括来自46个国家、40多年来47,000多只股票的月回报。我们发现,货币风险更有可能在生产可贸易商品的公司中定价,尤其是在汇率波动加剧的时期。这一发现对于企业国际化的评估标准、所选择的基准因素模型和所检查的子时期都是强有力的。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.30
自引率
4.80%
发文量
25
审稿时长
30 days
期刊介绍: International trade, financing and investments have grown at an extremely rapid pace in recent years, and the operations of corporations have become increasingly multinationalized. Corporate executives buying and selling goods and services, and making financing and investment decisions across national boundaries, have developed policies and procedures for managing cash flows denominated in foreign currencies. These policies and procedures, and the related managerial actions of executives, change as new relevant information becomes available. The purpose of the Journal of Multinational Financial Management is to publish rigorous, original articles dealing with the management of the multinational enterprise. Theoretical, conceptual, and empirical papers providing meaningful insights into the subject areas will be considered. The following topic areas, although not exhaustive, are representative of the coverage in this Journal. • Foreign exchange risk management • International capital budgeting • Forecasting exchange rates • Foreign direct investment • Hedging strategies • Cost of capital • Managing transaction exposure • Political risk assessment • International working capital management • International financial planning • International tax management • International diversification • Transfer pricing strategies • International liability management • International mergers.
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