Unconventional monetary policy, financial frictions, and the equity tandem

IF 1.3 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Journal of Macroeconomics Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI:10.1016/j.jmacro.2023.103580
Roland von Campe
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Abstract

A key feature of many DSGE frameworks designed to model Quantitative Easing (QE) is that net worth only plays a relevant role on bank’s balance sheets. In reality, however, net worth of borrowers and lenders plays a relevant role in financing investment projects. I show that this equity tandem has important implications. Net worth of non-financial firms acts as a first line of defense, since non-financial firm’s balance sheets are hit in the first place by real sector shocks. Modeling the equity tandem increases the resilience of the model and, therefore, implies smaller gains of unconventional monetary policy. A novel insight from the simultaneous modeling of borrowers and lenders net worth is that by decreasing the cost of external finance a QE policy is redistributing net worth from banks to non-financial firms. Additionally, considering the reverse operation, a credibly announced Quantitative Tightening (QT), helps to stabilize the spread between the return to capital and the deposit rate during the zero lower bound period. However, different anticipated QT paths are shown to have little consequences for output and inflation.

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非常规货币政策,金融摩擦,和股票串联
许多旨在模拟量化宽松(QE)的DSGE框架的一个关键特征是,净资产仅在银行资产负债表上发挥相关作用。然而,在现实中,借款人和贷款人的净资产在投资项目融资中起着相关的作用。我表明,这种股权串联具有重要的含义。非金融公司的净值充当了第一道防线,因为非金融公司的资产负债表首先受到实体行业冲击的打击。对股票串联进行建模增加了模型的弹性,因此意味着非常规货币政策的收益较小。同时对借款人和贷款人净值进行建模的一个新见解是,通过降低外部融资成本,量化宽松政策正在将净值从银行重新分配给非金融公司。此外,考虑到反向操作,一个可靠的量化紧缩(QT)宣布,有助于稳定资本回报率和存款利率之间的差距在零下限期间。然而,不同的预期QT路径显示对产出和通货膨胀的影响很小。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
7.10%
发文量
53
审稿时长
76 days
期刊介绍: Since its inception in 1979, the Journal of Macroeconomics has published theoretical and empirical articles that span the entire range of macroeconomics and monetary economics. More specifically, the editors encourage the submission of high quality papers that are concerned with the theoretical or empirical aspects of the following broadly defined topics: economic growth, economic fluctuations, the effects of monetary and fiscal policy, the political aspects of macroeconomics, exchange rate determination and other elements of open economy macroeconomics, the macroeconomics of income inequality, and macroeconomic forecasting.
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