ACCI could be a poor prognostic indicator for the in-hospital mortality of patients with SFTS.

IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q3 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Epidemiology and Infection Pub Date : 2023-12-06 DOI:10.1017/S0950268823001930
Chen Gong, Xinjian Xiang, Baoyu Hong, Tingting Shen, Meng Zhang, Shichun Shen, Shenggang Ding
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Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the predictive role of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) scores for in-hospital prognosis of severe fever in thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) patients. A total of 192 patients diagnosed with SFTS were selected as the study subjects. Clinical data were retrospectively collected. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the diagnostic value of ACCI for the mortality of SFTS patients, and Cox regression models were used to assess the association between predictive factors and prognosis. The 192 SFTS patients were divided into two groups according to the clinical endpoints (survivors/non-survivors). The results showed that the mortality of the 192 hospitalized SFTS patients was 26.6%. The ACCI score of the survivor group was significantly lower than that of the non-survivor group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the increased ACCI score was a significant predictor of poor prognosis in SFTS. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that SFTS patients with an ACCI >2.5 had shorter mean survival times, indicating a poor prognosis. Our findings suggest that ACCI, as an easy-to-use clinical indicator, may offer a simple and feasible approach for clinicians to determine the severity of SFTS.

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ACCI可能是影响SFTS患者院内死亡率的不良预后指标。
本研究旨在评估年龄调整后的查尔森合并症指数(ACCI)评分对严重发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)患者院内预后的预测作用。研究共选择了192名确诊为SFTS的患者作为研究对象。研究人员回顾性地收集了临床数据。利用接收者操作特征曲线评估ACCI对SFTS患者死亡率的诊断价值,并利用Cox回归模型评估预测因素与预后之间的关联。根据临床终点(存活/未存活)将192名SFTS患者分为两组。结果显示,192 名住院 SFTS 患者的死亡率为 26.6%。幸存者组的ACCI评分明显低于非幸存者组。多变量考克斯回归分析显示,ACCI评分的增加是SFTS预后不良的重要预测因素。卡普兰-米尔生存分析显示,ACCI>2.5的SFTS患者平均生存时间较短,表明预后较差。我们的研究结果表明,ACCI 作为一种易于使用的临床指标,可为临床医生提供一种简单可行的方法来确定 SFTS 的严重程度。
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来源期刊
Epidemiology and Infection
Epidemiology and Infection 医学-传染病学
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
2.40%
发文量
366
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Epidemiology & Infection publishes original reports and reviews on all aspects of infection in humans and animals. Particular emphasis is given to the epidemiology, prevention and control of infectious diseases. The scope covers the zoonoses, outbreaks, food hygiene, vaccine studies, statistics and the clinical, social and public-health aspects of infectious disease, as well as some tropical infections. It has become the key international periodical in which to find the latest reports on recently discovered infections and new technology. For those concerned with policy and planning for the control of infections, the papers on mathematical modelling of epidemics caused by historical, current and emergent infections are of particular value.
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