Emerging developments in ASEAN–China relations in regional production linkages

Ewa Cieślik
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Abstract

The article presents changes in trade flows of added value between ASEAN and China in the years 1995–2020. The article aims to assess the intensity of value-added flows in trade links between ASEAN and China. The article tried to answer whether the ASEAN economies and China take part equally in global value chains (GVCs) and regional value chains (RVCs). The article uses input-output models from the ICIO OECD database. The study shows significant changes in value-added flows between ASEAN and China since 1995. Not only the geographical structure of China's partners in ASEAN has changed, but also the participation and relative position of individual ASEAN economies in GVCs and RVCs. Generally, the role of China is growing while ASEAN economies are losing their positions in upstream GVCs and RVCs. However, ASEAN economies participate more strongly in GVCs and RVCs than China.

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东盟-中国关系在区域生产联系中的新发展
本文介绍了1995-2020年东盟与中国贸易增加值流动的变化情况。本文旨在评估东盟与中国之间贸易联系中增值流动的强度。本文试图回答东盟经济体和中国是否平等参与全球价值链和区域价值链。本文使用了ICIO OECD数据库中的投入产出模型。研究表明,自1995年以来,东盟与中国之间的增值流动发生了显著变化。不仅中国在东盟伙伴的地理结构发生了变化,而且东盟各经济体在全球价值链和区域价值链中的参与程度和相对地位也发生了变化。总体而言,中国的作用正在增强,而东盟经济体正在失去其在上游全球价值链和区域价值链中的地位。然而,东盟经济体在全球价值链和区域价值链中的参与度高于中国。
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