Spatial Variations in Fertility Desire in West Africa

IF 1.1 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Spatial Demography Pub Date : 2021-06-28 DOI:10.1007/s40980-021-00088-5
Ezra Gayawan, Fidelia Dake, Justin Dansou, Olusegun Sunday Ewemooje
{"title":"Spatial Variations in Fertility Desire in West Africa","authors":"Ezra Gayawan, Fidelia Dake, Justin Dansou, Olusegun Sunday Ewemooje","doi":"10.1007/s40980-021-00088-5","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Fertility in sub-Saharan Africa is among the highest globally and relatively higher in West Africa compared to the other sub-regions of Africa. While there have been extensive studies on fertility in West Africa, the underlying spatial variations with regard to within and cross-border variations among countries has received little attention. This study examined spatial variations in fertility desire among thirteen (13) West African countries using data from the most recent Demographic and Health Survey conducted between 2010 and 2018. The analysis considers two fertility indicators; preference for another child and ideal number of children, and the spatial units were the states/regions/provinces of the countries included in the study. Bayesian spatial models were specified for the count and multi-categorical response variables respectively, with the use of Markov random field prior for the spatial components while Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation technique was used for parameter estimation. The findings suggest spatial clustering in fertility desire both within and between countries, revealing cross-border spatial contagion. Specifically, women report high number of children as ideal throughout Niger extending to neighbouring northern Nigeria, in Mopti and Koulikoro regions of Mali; in Couffo region of Benin; in Kaffrine region of Senegal and all except Basse region of The Gambia. Additionally, being young, having low or no formal education, living in poor households, being a rural dweller and not using contraceptives were negatively associated with fertility desire. Policies aimed at reducing fertility should consider the spatial dynamics in addition to targeting younger, less educated, rural dwelling women while also strengthening sensitization campaigns for family planning.</p>","PeriodicalId":43022,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Demography","volume":"4 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2021-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Spatial Demography","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40980-021-00088-5","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"DEMOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1

Abstract

Fertility in sub-Saharan Africa is among the highest globally and relatively higher in West Africa compared to the other sub-regions of Africa. While there have been extensive studies on fertility in West Africa, the underlying spatial variations with regard to within and cross-border variations among countries has received little attention. This study examined spatial variations in fertility desire among thirteen (13) West African countries using data from the most recent Demographic and Health Survey conducted between 2010 and 2018. The analysis considers two fertility indicators; preference for another child and ideal number of children, and the spatial units were the states/regions/provinces of the countries included in the study. Bayesian spatial models were specified for the count and multi-categorical response variables respectively, with the use of Markov random field prior for the spatial components while Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation technique was used for parameter estimation. The findings suggest spatial clustering in fertility desire both within and between countries, revealing cross-border spatial contagion. Specifically, women report high number of children as ideal throughout Niger extending to neighbouring northern Nigeria, in Mopti and Koulikoro regions of Mali; in Couffo region of Benin; in Kaffrine region of Senegal and all except Basse region of The Gambia. Additionally, being young, having low or no formal education, living in poor households, being a rural dweller and not using contraceptives were negatively associated with fertility desire. Policies aimed at reducing fertility should consider the spatial dynamics in addition to targeting younger, less educated, rural dwelling women while also strengthening sensitization campaigns for family planning.

查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
西非生育意愿的空间差异
撒哈拉以南非洲的生育率是全球最高的之一,与非洲其他分区域相比,西非的生育率相对较高。虽然对西非的生育率进行了广泛的研究,但国家内部和国家间跨界生育率的潜在空间差异却很少受到重视。本研究使用2010年至2018年进行的最新人口与健康调查的数据,研究了13个西非国家生育意愿的空间差异。该分析考虑了两个生育率指标;对另一个孩子的偏好和理想的孩子数量,空间单位为研究中国家的州/地区/省。对计数响应变量和多分类响应变量分别采用贝叶斯空间模型,空间分量采用马尔科夫随机场先验,参数估计采用马尔科夫链蒙特卡罗模拟技术。研究结果表明,国家内部和国家之间的生育意愿存在空间聚集性,揭示了跨境空间传染。具体来说,妇女报告说,在整个尼日尔,理想的孩子数量多,一直延伸到邻近的尼日利亚北部,在马里的莫普提和库利科罗地区;在贝宁库福地区;在塞内加尔的卡夫林地区和冈比亚除巴塞地区外的所有地区。此外,年轻、教育程度低或没有受过正规教育、生活在贫困家庭、农村居民以及不使用避孕药具与生育愿望呈负相关。旨在降低生育率的政策除了针对年轻、受教育程度较低的农村妇女外,还应考虑到空间动态,同时加强计划生育宣传运动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 去求助
来源期刊
Spatial Demography
Spatial Demography DEMOGRAPHY-
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
期刊介绍: Spatial Demography focuses on understanding the spatial and spatiotemporal dimension of demographic processes.  More specifically, the journal is interested in submissions that include the innovative use and adoption of spatial concepts, geospatial data, spatial technologies, and spatial analytic methods that further our understanding of demographic and policy-related related questions. The journal publishes both substantive and methodological papers from across the discipline of demography and its related fields (including economics, geography, sociology, anthropology, environmental science) and in applications ranging from local to global scale. In addition to research articles the journal will consider for publication review essays, book reviews, and reports/reviews on data, software, and instructional resources.
期刊最新文献
Geospatial Analysis of the Socioeconomic and Demographic Effects of Historic Coal Mining in the Greater Pittsburgh Region, Pennsylvania, USA Spatial Proximity of Regional Socio-Economic and Demographic Characteristics and Its Spillover Effects on Spousal Violence Against Women in Indian Context Bayesian Multivariate Spatial Modelling of Risky Sexual Behaviour Among Young People in Nigeria The Local Regression Approach as a Tool to Improve Place-Based Policies: The Case of Molise (Southern Italy) Correction: An Example of Combining Expert Judgment and Small Area Projection Methods: Forecasting for Water District Needs
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1