The Baran Ratio, investment, and British economic growth and development

IF 0.6 3区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS Journal of Post Keynesian Economics Pub Date : 2022-10-31 DOI:10.1080/01603477.2022.2134034
Thomas E. Lambert
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Abstract

Investment in capital, new technology, and agricultural techniques has not been considered an endeavor worthwhile in a medieval economy because of a lack of strong property rights and no incentive on the part of lords and barons to lend money to or grant rights to peasant farmers. Therefore, the medieval economy and standards of living at that time often have been characterized as non-dynamic and static due to insufficient investment in innovative techniques and technology. Paul Baran’s concept of the economic surplus is applied to investment patterns during the late medieval, mercantile, and early capitalist stages of economic growth in England and the UK. This paper uses Zhun Xu’s Baran Ratio concept to try to develop general trends to demonstrate and reinforce other historical accounts of these times that a productive and sufficient level of public and private investment out of accumulated capital income, taxation, and rents does not have a real impact on economic per capita growth until around the 1600 s in Britain. This would also be about the time of capitalism’s ascent as the dominant economic system in England. Even then, dramatic increases in investment and economic growth do not appear until the late 18th Century when investment more consistently becomes more than one hundred percent of the level of the domestic economic surplus and takes in government spending. The types of investment, threshold amounts of investment out of profits and rents along with government spending seem to matter when it comes to a growth path raising GDP per capita and national income per capita to higher levels. Although much of this knowledge perhaps is embodied in current historical accounts, the Baran Ratio nicely summarizes and illustrates the importance of levels of investment to economic growth.

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巴兰比率、投资与英国经济增长与发展
摘要在中世纪经济中,对资本、新技术和农业技术的投资并不被认为是一种值得付出的努力,因为缺乏强有力的产权,而且领主和男爵们也没有动力借钱给农民或授予农民权利。因此,由于对创新技术和技术的投资不足,当时的中世纪经济和生活水平往往被定性为非动态和静态。保罗·巴兰(Paul Baran)的经济盈余概念适用于中世纪晚期、英国和英国经济增长的商业和早期资本主义阶段的投资模式。本文使用准许的巴兰比率概念,试图发展一般趋势,以证明和加强这一时期的其他历史记录,即在积累的资本收入、税收和租金中,生产性和充足的公共和私人投资水平直到17世纪左右才对英国的人均经济增长产生真正的影响。这也是资本主义崛起为英国主导经济体系的时期。即便如此,投资和经济增长的急剧增长直到18世纪后期才出现,当时投资更加稳定地超过了国内经济盈余水平的100%,并计入了政府支出。当涉及到提高人均GDP和国民收入到更高水平的增长路径时,投资类型,利润和租金投资的门槛金额以及政府支出似乎很重要。虽然这些知识中的大部分可能体现在当前的历史记录中,但巴兰比率很好地总结并说明了投资水平对经济增长的重要性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
10.00%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: The Journal of Post Keynesian Economics is a scholarly journal of innovative theoretical and empirical work that sheds fresh light on contemporary economic problems. It is committed to the principle that cumulative development of economic theory is only possible when the theory is continuously subjected to scrutiny in terms of its ability both to explain the real world and to provide a reliable guide to public policy.
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