Tracking the El Nino-Southern Oscillation in real-time: a staged communication approach to event onset

IF 3.6 4区 地球科学 Q1 Earth and Planetary Sciences Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science Pub Date : 2021-08-05 DOI:10.1071/es17006
Felicity Gamble, Grant Beard, Andrew Watkins, David Jones, Catherine Ganter, Vanessa Webb, Alex Evans
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Abstract

Communicating the development of El Niño and La Niña events is often challenging, largely due to the general misconception that the transition to an event can occur rapidly – like flicking a switch. Additionally, in Australia the association of El Niño with drought, and La Niña with flood, and the impacts that result, can often cloud the message. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology is responsible for issuing updates on the current status of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and declaring the onset and demise of an event. To assist in the communication of this often complex message, the Bureau of Meteorology developed an online tool, the ENSO Outlook, to keep stakeholders informed of the potential for El Niño or La Niña to develop in the upcoming seasons.
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实时跟踪厄尔尼诺-南方涛动:事件开始的阶段性通信方法
传达El Niño和La Niña事件的发展通常是具有挑战性的,这主要是由于普遍的误解,即到事件的过渡可以迅速发生——就像轻按开关一样。此外,在澳大利亚,El Niño与干旱、La Niña与洪水的关联,以及由此产生的影响,往往会给信息蒙上阴影。澳大利亚气象局负责发布厄尔Niño-Southern涛动(ENSO)的最新状态,并宣布事件的开始和结束。为了协助传达这一复杂的信息,气象局开发了一个在线工具,即ENSO展望,以使利益相关者了解El Niño或La Niña在即将到来的季节中发展的可能性。
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来源期刊
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science
Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-Oceanography
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
8.30%
发文量
0
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science (JSHESS) publishes broad areas of research with a distinct emphasis on the Southern Hemisphere. The scope of the Journal encompasses the study of the mean state, variability and change of the atmosphere, oceans, and land surface, including the cryosphere, from hemispheric to regional scales. general circulation of the atmosphere and oceans, climate change and variability , climate impacts, climate modelling , past change in the climate system including palaeoclimate variability, atmospheric dynamics, synoptic meteorology, mesoscale meteorology and severe weather, tropical meteorology, observation systems, remote sensing of atmospheric, oceanic and land surface processes, weather, climate and ocean prediction, atmospheric and oceanic composition and chemistry, physical oceanography, air‐sea interactions, coastal zone processes, hydrology, cryosphere‐atmosphere interactions, land surface‐atmosphere interactions, space weather, including impacts and mitigation on technology, ionospheric, magnetospheric, auroral and space physics, data assimilation applied to the above subject areas . Authors are encouraged to contact the Editor for specific advice on whether the subject matter of a proposed submission is appropriate for the Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science.
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