Simulation of the Performance of the Financial Market of Ukraine in the Conditions of Overcoming Threats to Economic Security

Abstract

The purpose of the article is the process of modeling the effectiveness of the financial market of Ukraine in the conditions of overcoming threats to economic security. Forecasting possible behavioral reactions to the integrated performance of the financial market of Ukraine is necessary for connection with the academic environment, the variability of risks formed by the content of influencing factors, by setting the volumes of critical operations to respond to the effect of influencing factors. This is because the volumes of critical financial market operations, according to its combinatorial structure, are also aimed at obtaining a result. Therefore, we suggest predicting possible behavioral reactions to the integrated performance of the financial market of Ukraine. The forecast is focused on obtaining reaction values regarding critical financial market operations for the next resolution/achievement of good target values. The received forecast of changes creates an opportunity with sufficient accuracy to reveal the conditions for the formation of results, notably that characteristic of critical operations of the financial market, using studies of its internal reactivity, which is guided by the action of influencing factors. According to the results of the performance evaluation, it is evident that the expected integral performance of the financial market of Ukraine will demonstrate a much lower expected increase in benefits due to the likely narrowing of the market capacity and reduction of investment options. The results of such analysis and forecasting will make it possible to reasonably approach the development of sets of priority actions within the framework of strategic maps, the fixation of outlined priorities, and predictive analysis of changes in their effectiveness over time (which provides visualization of the movement towards absorption or complete absorption of destabilizing processes in the financial market).