Predictive Modeling of Insurance Claims in Rwanda

Blessing Mugisha
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Abstract

Purpose: The aim of the study was to examine the predictive modeling of insurance claims in Rwanda. Methodology: The study adopted a desktop methodology. Desk research refers to secondary data or that which can be collected without fieldwork. Desk research is basically involved in collecting data from existing resources hence it is often considered a low cost technique as compared to field research, as the main cost is involved in executive’s time, telephone charges and directories. Thus, the study relied on already published studies, reports and statistics. This secondary data was easily accessed through the online journals and library Findings: Predictive modeling of insurance claims in Rwanda found key predictors such as age, gender, and policy type. Regional variations in claim frequency and severity were evident, emphasizing the importance of localized risk assessment. Historical claims data was instrumental in building effective predictive models for insurers. Data-driven approaches were identified as valuable tools for improving underwriting and pricing strategies in Rwanda's insurance market. Continuous data collection and model refinement were underscored for enhanced accuracy and adaptability in the evolving Rwandan insurance landscape. Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: Actuarial Science Theory, Behavioral Economics Theory & Economic Development Theory may be used to anchor future studies on the examining the predictive modeling of insurance claims in Rwanda. Predictive modeling can help insurers better understand their customers' needs and preferences. Policymakers can establish guidelines and regulations to ensure the responsible use of personal data in the insurance industry.
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卢旺达保险索赔预测模型
目的:本研究的目的是研究卢旺达保险索赔的预测模型。方法学:本研究采用桌面方法学。案头研究指的是二手数据或不需要实地调查就能收集到的数据。案头调查基本上涉及从现有资源中收集数据,因此,与实地调查相比,案头调查通常被认为是一种成本较低的技术,因为主要费用是行政人员的时间、电话费和通讯录。因此,这项研究依赖于已经发表的研究、报告和统计数据。这些二手数据很容易通过在线期刊和图书馆的发现获得:卢旺达保险索赔的预测模型发现了关键的预测因素,如年龄、性别和保单类型。索赔频率和严重程度的区域差异很明显,强调了局部风险评估的重要性。历史索赔数据有助于为保险公司建立有效的预测模型。数据驱动的方法被认为是改善卢旺达保险市场承保和定价策略的宝贵工具。强调了持续的数据收集和模型改进,以提高在不断变化的卢旺达保险格局中的准确性和适应性。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:精算学理论、行为经济学理论和经济发展理论可以用来锚定卢旺达保险索赔预测模型的未来研究。预测模型可以帮助保险公司更好地了解客户的需求和偏好。政策制定者可以制定指导方针和法规,以确保保险行业负责任地使用个人数据。
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