Influence of Political Risk on International Business Operations in Germany

Conrad Bruno
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Abstract

Purpose: The aim of the study was to investigate the influence of political risk on international business operations in Germany. Methodology: This study adopted a desk methodology. A desk study research design is commonly known as secondary data collection. This is basically collecting data from existing resources preferably because of its low cost advantage as compared to a field research. Our current study looked into already published studies and reports as the data was easily accessed through online journals and libraries. Findings: The study revealed that political uncertainties, such as shifts in government policies, geopolitical tensions, and regulatory changes, can significantly impact the business environment, investment decisions, and market opportunities in Germany. While Germany is known for its stable political system and business-friendly environment, recent developments, such as Brexit, global trade tensions, and the rise of nationalist movements, have introduced new layers of complexity and uncertainty for international businesses operating in the country. These political risks can manifest in various forms, including disruptions to supply chains, fluctuations in currency markets, and heightened regulatory scrutiny, necessitating proactive risk management strategies and adaptive business practices. Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: Institutional Theory, Resource Dependence Theory (RDT) & Transaction Cost Economics (TCE) theory may be used to anchor future studies on influence of political risk on international business operations. Implement regular political risk assessments using this comprehensive framework to identify potential threats and opportunities in different regions. Businesses should use advanced analytics and scenario planning to forecast potential political changes and their impacts. Businesses should diversify their investments across multiple countries and regions with varying political risk profiles. Policymakers should establish standardized guidelines for political risk assessment to ensure consistent and accurate evaluation across industries and regions. This will help firms better prepare for and mitigate political risks.
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政治风险对德国国际商业运营的影响
目的:本研究旨在探讨政治风险对德国国际商业运营的影响。研究方法:本研究采用案头研究法。案头研究设计通常被称为二手数据收集。这主要是从现有资源中收集数据,因为与实地研究相比,它具有成本低的优势。我们目前的研究调查了已经出版的研究和报告,因为这些数据很容易通过在线期刊和图书馆获取。研究结果研究显示,政治不确定性,如政府政策转变、地缘政治紧张局势和监管变化,会对德国的商业环境、投资决策和市场机遇产生重大影响。虽然德国以其稳定的政治体制和友好的商业环境而闻名,但英国脱欧、全球贸易紧张局势和民族主义运动的兴起等近期事态的发展,为在德国开展业务的国际企业带来了新的复杂性和不确定性。这些政治风险的表现形式多种多样,包括供应链中断、货币市场波动和监管审查加强,因此必须采取积极的风险管理策略和适应性商业实践。对理论、实践和政策的独特贡献:制度理论、资源依赖理论(RDT)和交易成本经济学(TCE)理论可作为未来研究政治风险对国际商业运营影响的基础。利用这一综合框架定期进行政治风险评估,以确定不同地区的潜在威胁和机遇。企业应利用先进的分析方法和情景规划来预测潜在的政治变化及其影响。企业应在具有不同政治风险的多个国家和地区分散投资。政策制定者应制定标准化的政治风险评估准则,以确保对不同行业和地区进行一致、准确的评估。这将有助于企业更好地防范和降低政治风险。
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