Analysis of trip frequency choice of commute trips in the context of COVID-19 in India: A hybrid choice modelling approach with generalized ordered logit kernel

IF 3.2 Q3 TRANSPORTATION IATSS Research Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI:10.1016/j.iatssr.2023.12.003

Bh. Aaditya, T.M. Rahul

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Abstract

The paradigm shift in mobility and travel behaviour caused by the successive waves of the COVID-19 pandemic has been unreal. The long-term effects of the pandemic resulting from the fear of the spread of the virus against the belief in the remedial measures are to be understood from a behavioural perspective to strengthen the current transportation system against such impediments. The current study adds to the literature on COVID-19 pandemic by unravelling the long-term impacts of the pandemic on the trip frequency of commute trips. A dataset of 467 individuals from all over India is analysed to understand the factors impacting the willingness of the respondents to reduce their commute trips in a post-vaccinated scenario. An integrated choice and latent variable structure, with a generalized ordered logit kernel, was considered to incorporate the influence of psycho-attitudinal variables and socio-demographics on the willingness to reduce trip frequency among individuals. The results indicate a significant impact for variables including fear of the virus spread, age of individuals, and job satisfaction of working from home on the stated willingness towards trip reduction. The study concludes by presenting policy measures that target to overcome the effects of the pandemic and restore normalcy.

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印度 COVID-19 背景下的通勤出行频率选择分析：使用广义有序对数核的混合选择建模方法

连续几波2019冠状病毒病大流行造成的出行和旅行行为模式转变是不真实的。要从行为的角度来理解由于担心病毒传播而违背对补救措施的信念而造成的流行病的长期影响，以加强目前的运输系统以克服这些障碍。目前的研究通过揭示大流行对通勤出行频率的长期影响，增加了关于COVID-19大流行的文献。对来自印度各地的467人的数据集进行了分析，以了解影响受访者在接种疫苗后减少通勤旅行意愿的因素。采用广义有序logit核的综合选择和潜变量结构，考虑了心理态度变量和社会人口统计学对个体减少出行频率意愿的影响。结果表明，对病毒传播的恐惧、个人年龄和在家工作的工作满意度等变量对减少旅行的意愿有显著影响。研究报告最后提出了旨在克服大流行影响和恢复正常的政策措施。

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来源期刊

IATSS Research TRANSPORTATION-

CiteScore

6.40

自引率

6.20%

发文量

审稿时长

42 weeks

期刊介绍： First published in 1977 as an international journal sponsored by the International Association of Traffic and Safety Sciences, IATSS Research has contributed to the dissemination of interdisciplinary wisdom on ideal mobility, particularly in Asia. IATSS Research is an international refereed journal providing a platform for the exchange of scientific findings on transportation and safety across a wide range of academic fields, with particular emphasis on the links between scientific findings and practice in society and cultural contexts. IATSS Research welcomes submission of original research articles and reviews that satisfy the following conditions: 1.Relevant to transportation and safety, and the multiple impacts of transportation systems on security, human health, and the environment. 2.Contains important policy and practical implications based on scientific evidence in the applicable academic field. In addition to welcoming general submissions, IATSS Research occasionally plans and publishes special feature sections and special issues composed of invited articles addressing specific topics.