Risk factors for postoperative recurrence of pT2-3N0M0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and patterns of its recurrence.

Abstract

This study aimed to explore the patterns of postoperative recurrence in patients with pT2-3N0M0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and to identify the risk factors for the recurrence. Patients with pT2-3N0M0 ESCC who were treated at our hospital from January 2010 to August 2019 were divided into three categories: those with anastomotic recurrence, those with lymph node recurrence, and those with hematogenous metastasis. The sites of initial recurrence and metastasis were counted and potential risk factors were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression. Four hundred and eighty-five patients with pT2-3N0M0 ESCC were ultimately included, 176 (36.29%) of whom experienced tumor recurrence or metastasis. Cox multivariate analysis revealed that the postoperative T-stage, procedure, tumor location, and degree of differentiation were independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence (P < 0.05). The median time of recurrence was 38 months, and the most common site of recurrence was the lymph nodes in 126 patients (71.59%), followed by hematogenous metastasis in 73 patients (41.47%), and anastomotic recurrence in 21 patients (11.93%). 119 patients (67.61%) experienced recurrence within 36 months, with a probability of recurrence of 84.09% within 5 years, and recurrence remained relatively unchanged after 5 years. The proportion of postoperative lymph node recurrence and hematogenous metastasis in patients with pT3N0M0 ESCC was significantly higher than that in patients with pT2N0M0 ESCC (P < 0.05). At higher tumor locations in the body, the proportion of lymph node recurrence increased (P < 0.05). In conclusion, postoperative T-stage, procedure, tumor location, and degree of differentiation were independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence in pT2-3N0M0 ESCC, with regional lymph node recurrence being the most common pattern, emphasizing the importance of regional lymph nodes in this context.