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Serum proteomics reveals early biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease: The dual role of APOE-ε4.
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-23 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01365
Ya-Nan Ma, Ying Xia, Kenji Karako, Peipei Song, Wei Tang, Xiqi Hu

Alzheimer's disease (AD), the leading cause of dementia, significantly impacts global public health, with cases expected to exceed 150 million by 2050. Late-onset Alzheimer's disease (LOAD), predominantly influenced by the APOE-ε4 allele, exhibits complex pathogenesis involving amyloid-β (Aβ) plaques, neurofibrillary tangles (NFTs), neuroinflammation, and blood-brain barrier (BBB) disruption. Proteomics has emerged as a pivotal technology in uncovering molecular mechanisms and identifying biomarkers for early diagnosis and intervention in AD. This paper reviews the genetic and molecular roles of APOE-ε4 in the pathology of AD, including its effects on Aβ aggregation, tau phosphorylation, neuroinflammation, and BBB integrity. Additionally, it highlights recent advances in serum proteomics, revealing APOE-ε4-dependent and independent protein signatures with potential as early biomarkers for AD. Despite technological progress, challenges such as population diversity, standardization, and distinguishing AD-specific biomarkers remain. Directions for future research emphasize multicenter longitudinal studies, multi-omics integration, and the clinical translation of proteomic findings to enable early detection of AD and personalized treatment strategies. Proteomics advances in AD research hold the promise of improving patient outcomes and reducing the global disease burden.

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引用次数: 0
Development and validation of a machine-learning model to predict lymph node metastasis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: A retrospective cohort study. 预测肝内胆管癌淋巴结转移的机器学习模型的开发和验证:一项回顾性队列研究。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01282
Shizheng Mi, Guoteng Qiu, Zhihong Zhang, Zhaoxing Jin, Qingyun Xie, Ziqi Hou, Jun Ji, Jiwei Huang

Lymph node metastasis in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma significantly impacts overall survival, emphasizing the need for a predictive model. This study involved patients who underwent curative liver resection between different time periods. Three machine learning models were constructed with a training cohort (2010-2016) and validated with a separate cohort (2019-2023). A total of 170 patients were included in the training set and 101 in the validation cohort. The lymph node status of patients not undergoing lymph node dissection was predicted, followed by survival analysis. Among the models, the support vector machine (SVM) had the best discrimination, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.705 for the training set and 0.754 for the validation set, compared to the random forest (AUC: 0.780/0.693) and the logistic regression (AUC: 0.703/0.736). Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that patients in the positive lymph node group or predicted positive group had significantly worse overall survival (OS: p < 0.001 for both) and disease-free survival (DFS: p < 0.001 for both) compared to negative groups. An online user-friendly calculator based on the SVM model has been developed for practical application.

肝内胆管癌的淋巴结转移显著影响总体生存,强调需要一个预测模型。本研究涉及在不同时期接受治愈性肝切除术的患者。使用训练队列(2010-2016)构建了三个机器学习模型,并使用单独的队列(2019-2023)进行了验证。共有170名患者被纳入训练集,101名患者被纳入验证队列。预测未行淋巴结清扫的患者的淋巴结状况,然后进行生存分析。其中,与随机森林(AUC: 0.780/0.693)和逻辑回归(AUC: 0.703/0.736)相比,支持向量机(SVM)的识别效果最好,训练集的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.705,验证集的AUC为0.754。Kaplan-Meier分析显示,与阴性组相比,淋巴结阳性组或预测阳性组患者的总生存期(OS: p < 0.001)和无病生存期(DFS: p < 0.001)均明显较差。本文开发了一个基于支持向量机模型的在线用户友好计算器,用于实际应用。
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引用次数: 0
The APP Score: A simple serum biomarker model to enhance prognostic prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma. APP评分:提高肝细胞癌预后预测的简单血清生物标志物模型。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01228
Jinyu Zhang, Qionglan Wu, Jinhua Zeng, Yongyi Zeng, Jingfeng Liu, Jianxing Zeng

The prognosis for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) depends on tumor stage and remnant liver function. However, it often includes tumor morphology, which is usually assessed with imaging studies or pathologic analysis, leading to limited predictive performance. Therefore, the aim of this study was to develop a simple and low-cost prognostic score for HCC based on serum biomarkers in routine clinical practice. A total of 3,100 patients were recruited. The least absolute shrinkage and selector operation (LASSO) algorithm was used to select the significant factors for overall survival. The prognostic score was devised based on multivariate Cox regression of the training cohort. Model performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration. Albumin (ALB), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were selected by the LASSO algorithm. The three variables were incorporated into multivariate Cox regression to create the risk score (APP score = 0.390* ln (ALP) + 0.063* ln(AFP) - 0.033*ALB). The C-index, K-index, and time-dependent AUC of the score displayed significantly better predictive performance than 5 other models and 5 other staging systems. The model was able to stratify patients into three different risk groups. In conclusion, the APP score was developed to estimate survival probability and was used to stratify three strata with significantly different outcomes, outperforming other models in training and validation cohorts as well as different subgroups. This simple and low-cost model could help guide individualized follow-up.

肝细胞癌(HCC)患者的预后取决于肿瘤分期和残余肝功能。然而,它通常包括肿瘤形态学,通常通过影像学研究或病理分析来评估,导致预测效果有限。因此,本研究的目的是在常规临床实践中基于血清生物标志物开发一种简单、低成本的HCC预后评分方法。总共招募了3100名患者。采用最小绝对收缩和选择操作(LASSO)算法选择影响总生存的重要因素。预后评分是根据训练队列的多变量Cox回归设计的。通过判别和校准来评估模型的性能。采用LASSO算法选择白蛋白(ALB)、碱性磷酸酶(ALP)和甲胎蛋白(AFP)。将3个变量纳入多变量Cox回归,得到风险评分(APP评分= 0.390* ln(ALP) + 0.063* ln(AFP) - 0.033*ALB)。评分的c指数、k指数和随时间变化的AUC的预测性能明显优于其他5种模型和其他5种分期系统。该模型能够将患者分为三个不同的风险组。总之,APP评分用于估计生存率,并用于对三个结果显著不同的阶层进行分层,在训练和验证队列以及不同的亚组中优于其他模型。这种简单、低成本的模式有助于指导个体化随访。
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引用次数: 0
Applications of and issues with machine learning in medicine: Bridging the gap with explainable AI. 机器学习在医学中的应用和问题:用可解释的人工智能弥合差距。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01342
Kenji Karako, Wei Tang

In recent years, machine learning, and particularly deep learning, has shown remarkable potential in various fields, including medicine. Advanced techniques like convolutional neural networks and transformers have enabled high-performance predictions for complex problems, making machine learning a valuable tool in medical decision-making. From predicting postoperative complications to assessing disease risk, machine learning has been actively used to analyze patient data and assist healthcare professionals. However, the "black box" problem, wherein the internal workings of machine learning models are opaque and difficult to interpret, poses a significant challenge in medical applications. The lack of transparency may hinder trust and acceptance by clinicians and patients, making the development of explainable AI (XAI) techniques essential. XAI aims to provide both global and local explanations for machine learning models, offering insights into how predictions are made and which factors influence these outcomes. In this article, we explore various applications of machine learning in medicine, describe commonly used algorithms, and discuss explainable AI as a promising solution to enhance the interpretability of these models. By integrating explainability into machine learning, we aim to ensure its ethical and practical application in healthcare, ultimately improving patient outcomes and supporting personalized treatment strategies.

近年来,机器学习,尤其是深度学习,在包括医学在内的各个领域显示出了惊人的潜力。卷积神经网络和变压器等先进技术使复杂问题的高性能预测成为可能,使机器学习成为医疗决策的宝贵工具。从预测术后并发症到评估疾病风险,机器学习已被积极用于分析患者数据并协助医疗保健专业人员。然而,“黑箱”问题,即机器学习模型的内部工作不透明且难以解释,对医疗应用构成了重大挑战。缺乏透明度可能会阻碍临床医生和患者的信任和接受,因此开发可解释的人工智能(XAI)技术至关重要。XAI旨在为机器学习模型提供全球和本地的解释,提供关于如何做出预测以及哪些因素影响这些结果的见解。在本文中,我们探讨了机器学习在医学中的各种应用,描述了常用的算法,并讨论了可解释的人工智能作为一种有前途的解决方案,以增强这些模型的可解释性。通过将可解释性整合到机器学习中,我们的目标是确保其在医疗保健中的道德和实际应用,最终改善患者的治疗效果并支持个性化的治疗策略。
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引用次数: 0
Advances in systemic therapy leading to conversion surgery for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. 晚期肝细胞癌的转化手术在全身治疗中的进展。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01372
Hiroyuki Hakoda, Akihiko Ichida, Kiyoshi Hasegawa

Recently, a systemic therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been developed. The regimen for unresectable HCC varies and includes single or multi-tyrosine kinase inhibitors, monoclonal antibodies, immune checkpoint inhibitors, or their combinations. Treatment with these agents begins with sorafenib as the first-line drug for unresectable HCC. Subsequently, several systemic therapies, including lenvatinib, ramucirumab, cabozantinib, and regorafenib have been investigated and established. With advances in systemic therapy for unresectable HCC, the prognosis of patients with unresectable HCC has improved significantly than previously. Conversion surgery, consisting of systemic therapy and surgery, showed the possibility of improving the prognosis than systemic therapy alone. Although a combination of atezolizumab and bevacizumab is mostly used for initially unresectable HCC to conduct conversion surgery because of the high response rate and fewer adverse events compared to others, many trials are being conducted to assess their efficacy for initially unresectable HCC. However, the appropriate timing of surgery and interval between systemic therapy and surgery remain controversial. To address these issues, a multidisciplinary team can play a vital role in determining the strategies for treating unresectable HCC. This review describes previous and current trends in the treatment of HCC, with a particular focus on conversion surgery for initially unresectable HCC.

近年来,一种治疗晚期肝细胞癌(HCC)的全身疗法已经被开发出来。不可切除HCC的治疗方案各不相同,包括单一或多种酪氨酸激酶抑制剂、单克隆抗体、免疫检查点抑制剂或它们的组合。这些药物的治疗以索拉非尼作为不可切除HCC的一线药物。随后,研究并建立了几种全身疗法,包括lenvatinib、ramucirumab、cabozantinib和regorafenib。随着不可切除HCC的全身治疗的进展,不可切除HCC患者的预后比以前有了显著改善。由全身治疗和外科手术组成的转换手术比单纯全身治疗更有可能改善预后。虽然atezolizumab和bevacizumab的联合治疗主要用于最初不可切除的HCC进行转换手术,因为与其他治疗相比,atezolizumab的反应率高,不良事件少,但正在进行许多试验来评估它们对最初不可切除的HCC的疗效。然而,手术的适当时机和全身治疗与手术之间的间隔仍然存在争议。为了解决这些问题,一个多学科的团队可以在确定治疗不可切除的HCC的策略方面发挥重要作用。本综述描述了HCC治疗的既往和当前趋势,特别关注最初不可切除的HCC的转化手术。
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引用次数: 0
Repeat laparoscopic hepatectomy versus radiofrequency ablation for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter, propensity score matching analysis. 重复腹腔镜肝切除术与射频消融治疗复发性肝细胞癌:一项多中心,倾向评分匹配分析。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01224
Zihui Ma, Xiaolu Lin, Jinglei Zhang, Xingchao Song, Maolin Yan, Lei Guo, Jie Xue, Chongde Lu, Jie Shi, Shuqun Cheng, Weixing Guo

This study aimed at analyzing and comparing the clinical efficacy and prognosis of repeat laparoscopic hepatectomy (r-LH) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in treating recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (RHCC). Clinicopathological data of RHCC patients who underwent r-LH or RFA as treatment from three medical centers were retrospectively reviewed. Baseline characteristics at the recurrence time after initial hepatectomy and clinical outcomes following treatment of RHCC were compared between the two groups. Using the Kaplan-Meier method, survival curves for the two groups of patients were generated, and the log-rank test was used to compare survival differences. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was used to match patients of the r-LH and RFA groups in a 1:1 ratio. A total of 272 patients were enrolled, including 133 patients who underwent r-LH and 139 patients who received RFA. After PSM, 76 patients were matched in each study group. Compared with the r-LH group, the RFA group had shorter hospitalization and fewer postoperative complications. However, the r-LH group had significantly better overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) than the RFA group before and after PSM. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that RHCC patients with solitary tumor or those with tumors located near the diaphragm, visceral surface or vessels, had survival benefits from r-LH. When tumor diameter ≤ 5 cm, r-LH appears to be an effective priority to RFA with a significantly higher OS and DFS rate in treating RHCC patients, especially for patients with solitary tumor and those with tumors located near the diaphragm, visceral surface or vessels.

本研究旨在分析比较重复腹腔镜肝切除术(r-LH)与射频消融术(RFA)治疗复发性肝细胞癌(RHCC)的临床疗效和预后。回顾性分析了三个医疗中心接受r-LH或RFA治疗的RHCC患者的临床病理资料。比较两组患者初始肝切除术后复发时的基线特征和治疗后的临床结果。采用Kaplan-Meier法生成两组患者的生存曲线,采用log-rank检验比较生存差异。采用倾向评分匹配(PSM)分析,将r-LH组和RFA组患者按1:1的比例进行匹配。共纳入272例患者,其中133例接受r-LH治疗,139例接受RFA治疗。PSM后,每组76例患者配对。与r-LH组相比,RFA组住院时间短,术后并发症少。然而,在PSM前后,r-LH组的总生存期(OS)和无病生存期(DFS)明显优于RFA组。亚组分析表明,单发肿瘤或肿瘤位于膈膜、内脏表面或血管附近的RHCC患者可从r-LH中获得生存益处。当肿瘤直径≤5 cm时,相对于RFA, r-LH是治疗RHCC患者的有效优先选择,其OS和DFS率显著高于RFA,特别是对于单发肿瘤以及肿瘤位于膈、内脏表面或血管附近的患者。
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引用次数: 0
Laparoscopic versus open liver resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Stratified analysis based on tumor burden score. 腹腔镜与开放肝切除术治疗肝内胆管癌:基于肿瘤负荷评分的分层分析。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01277
Hongxin Li, Junjie Kong, Wei Si, Tao Wang, Min Ji, Guangbing Li, Jun Liu

The role of laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains debated. This study aimed to evaluate the short- and long-term outcomes of LLR vs. open liver resection (OLR) in ICC stratified by tumor burden score (TBS). ICC patients who underwent LLR or OLR were included from a multicenter database between July 2009 and October 2022. Patients were stratified into two cohorts based on whether the TBS was > 5.3. A 1:3 propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed between LLR and OLR in each cohort. Cox regression analysis was used to identify prognostic factors for ICC. A total of 626 patients were included in this study, 304 and 322 patients were classified into the low- and high-TBS groups, respectively. In the low-TBS group, after PSM, LLR was associated with less blood loss, lower CCI, fewer complications and shorter hospital stay (all p < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier curves revealed that LLR had better OS (p = 0.032). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that surgical procedure was an independent prognostic factor for ICC (HR: 0.445; 95% CI: 0.235-0.843; p = 0.013). In the high-TBS group, after PSM, LLR were associated with reduced blood loss, lower CCI, fewer complications and shorter hospital stay (all p < 0.05), while OS (p = 0.98) and DFS (p = 0.24) were similar between the two groups. TBS is an important prognostic factor for ICC. LLR is a safe and feasible option for ICC and leads to faster postoperative recovery. LLR can offer ICC a comparable and even better long-term prognosis than OLR.

腹腔镜肝切除术(LLR)在肝内胆管癌(ICC)中的作用仍有争议。本研究旨在评估按肿瘤负荷评分(TBS)分层的ICC中LLR与开放肝切除术(OLR)的短期和长期结果。从2009年7月至2022年10月的多中心数据库中纳入了接受LLR或OLR的ICC患者。根据TBS是否为bbb5.3,将患者分为两组。每个队列的LLR和OLR之间进行1:3倾向评分匹配(PSM)分析。采用Cox回归分析确定ICC的预后因素。本研究共纳入626例患者,其中低tbs组304例,高tbs组322例。在低tbs组中,PSM后LLR与出血量少、CCI低、并发症少、住院时间短相关(均p < 0.05)。Kaplan-Meier曲线显示LLR有更好的OS (p = 0.032)。多因素Cox回归分析显示,手术方式是ICC的独立预后因素(HR: 0.445;95% ci: 0.235-0.843;P = 0.013)。在高tbs组中,PSM后LLR与出血量减少、CCI降低、并发症减少和住院时间缩短相关(均p < 0.05),而两组间OS (p = 0.98)和DFS (p = 0.24)相似。TBS是ICC的重要预后因素。LLR是一种安全可行的ICC治疗方法,术后恢复更快。与OLR相比,LLR可以为ICC提供相当甚至更好的长期预后。
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引用次数: 0
Chinese expert consensus on sequential surgery following conversion therapy based on combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors and antiangiogenic targeted drugs for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (2024 edition). 专家共识:基于免疫检查点抑制剂和抗血管生成靶向药物联合治疗晚期肝细胞癌的转换治疗后序贯手术(2024年版)。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-25 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01394
Haowen Tang, Wenwen Zhang, Junning Cao, Yinbiao Cao, Xinyu Bi, Haitao Zhao, Ze Zhang, Zhe Liu, Tao Wan, Ren Lang, Wenbing Sun, Shunda Du, Yongping Yang, Yinying Lu, Daobing Zeng, Jushan Wu, Binwei Duan, Dongdong Lin, Fei Li, Qinghua Meng, Jun Zhou, Baocai Xing, Xiaodong Tian, Jiye Zhu, Jie Gao, Chunyi Hao, Zhiqiang Wang, Feng Duan, Zhijun Wang, Maoqiang Wang, Bin Liang, Yongwei Chen, Yinzhe Xu, Kai Li, Chengang Li, Minggen Hu, Zhaohai Wang, Shouwang Cai, Wenbin Ji, Nianxin Xia, Wenheng Zheng, Hongguang Wang, Gong Li, Ziman Zhu, Zhiyong Huang, Wanguang Zhang, Kaishan Tao, Jun Liang, Keming Zhang, Chaoliu Dai, Jiangtao Li, Qiu Qiu, Yuan Guo, Liqun Wu, Weibao Ding, Zhenyu Zhu, Wanqing Gu, Jingyu Cao, Zusen Wang, Lantian Tian, Huiguo Ding, Guangming Li, Yongyi Zeng, Kui Wang, Ning Yang, Haosheng Jin, Yajin Chen, Yinmo Yang, Dianrong Xiu, Maolin Yan, Xiaodong Wang, Quanli Han, Shunchang Jiao, Guang Tan, Jizhou Wang, Lianxin Liu, Jinghai Song, Jiajie Liao, Hong Zhao, Peng Li, Tianqiang Song, Zhanbo Wang, Jing Yuan, Bingyang Hu, Yufeng Yuan, Meng Zhang, Shuyang Sun, Jialin Zhang, Wentao Wang, Tianfu Wen, Jiayin Yang, Xilin Du, Tao Peng, Feng Xia, Zuojin Liu, Weibo Niu, Ping Liang, Jianming Xu, Xiao Zhao, Min Zhu, Huaizhi Wang, Ming Kuang, Shunli Shen, Xing Cui, Jinxue Zhou, Rong Liu, Huichuan Sun, Jia Fan, Xiaoping Chen, Jian Zhou, Jianqiang Cai, Shichun Lu

Up to half of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases are diagnosed at an advanced stage, for which effective treatment options are lacking, resulting in a poor prognosis. Over the past few years, the combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors and anti-angiogenic targeted therapy has proven highly efficacious in treating advanced HCC, significantly extending patients' survival and providing a potential for sequential curative surgery. After sequential curative hepatectomy or liver transplantation following conversion therapy, patients can receive long-term survival benefits. In order to improve the long-term survival rate of the overall population with liver cancer and achieve the goal of a 15% increase in the overall 5-year survival rate outlined in the Healthy China 2030 blueprint, the Professional Committee for Prevention and Control of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Diseases of Chinese Preventive Medicine Association, Chinese Society of Liver Cancer, and the Liver Study Group of Surgery Committee of Beijing Medical Association organized in-depth discussions among relevant domestic experts in the field. These discussions focused on the latest progress since the release of the Chinese expert consensus on conversion therapy of immune checkpoint inhibitors combined antiangiogenic targeted drugs for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (2021 Edition) and resulted in a new consensus on the modifications and supplements to related key points. This consensus aims to further guide clinical practice, standardize medical care, and promote the development of the discipline.

高达一半的肝细胞癌(HCC)病例在晚期被诊断出来,缺乏有效的治疗选择,导致预后不良。在过去的几年里,免疫检查点抑制剂和抗血管生成靶向治疗的联合治疗在晚期HCC治疗中被证明是非常有效的,显著延长了患者的生存期,并提供了后续治疗手术的潜力。在转换治疗后进行序贯根治性肝切除术或肝移植后,患者可获得长期生存益处。为提高肝癌总体人群的长期生存率,实现“健康中国2030”蓝图中提出的整体5年生存率提高15%的目标,中华预防医学会肝胆胰疾病防治专业委员会、中国肝癌学会、北京市医学会外科专业委员会肝脏课题组组织国内相关专家进行了深入讨论。围绕《免疫检查点抑制剂联合抗血管生成靶向药物治疗晚期肝细胞癌(2021版)转化疗法中国专家共识》发布以来的最新进展,对相关重点的修改和补充达成了新的共识。这一共识旨在进一步指导临床实践,规范医疗服务,促进本学科的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning-based prognostic prediction and surgical guidance for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. 基于机器学习的肝内胆管癌预后预测及手术指导。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01312
Long Huang, Jianbo Li, Shuncang Zhu, Liang Wang, Ge Li, Junyong Pan, Chun Zhang, Jianlin Lai, Yifeng Tian, Shi Chen

The prognosis following radical surgery for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is poor, and optimal follow-up strategies remain unclear, with ongoing debates regarding anatomic resection (AR) versus non-anatomic resection (NAR). This study included 680 patients from five hospitals, comparing a combination of eight feature screening methods and 11 machine learning algorithms to predict prognosis and construct integrated models. These models were assessed using nested cross-validation and various datasets, benchmarked against TNM stage and performance status. Evaluation metrics such as area under the curve (AUC) were applied. Prognostic models incorporating screened features showed superior performance compared to unselected models, with AR emerging as a key variable. Treatment recommendation models for surgical approaches, including DeepSurv, neural network multitask logistic regression (N-MTLR), and Kernel support vector machine (SVM), indicated that N-MTLR's recommendations were associated with survival benefits. Additionally, some patients identified as suitable for NAR were within groups previously considered for AR. In conclusion, three robust clinical models were developed to predict ICC prognosis and optimize surgical decisions, improving patient outcomes and supporting shared decision-making for patients and surgeons.

肝内胆管癌(ICC)根治性手术后的预后很差,最佳随访策略仍不清楚,关于解剖切除(AR)与非解剖切除(NAR)的争论仍在继续。本研究纳入了来自5家医院的680例患者,比较了8种特征筛选方法和11种机器学习算法的组合预测预后并构建集成模型。这些模型使用嵌套交叉验证和各种数据集进行评估,以TNM阶段和性能状态为基准。采用曲线下面积(AUC)等评价指标。与未选择的模型相比,纳入筛选特征的预后模型表现出更好的性能,AR成为一个关键变量。包括DeepSurv、神经网络多任务逻辑回归(N-MTLR)和核支持向量机(SVM)在内的手术入路治疗推荐模型表明,N-MTLR的推荐与生存获益相关。此外,一些确定适合NAR的患者属于先前考虑的AR组。总之,开发了三个强大的临床模型来预测ICC预后并优化手术决策,改善患者预后并支持患者和外科医生的共同决策。
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引用次数: 0
First-line systemic therapy and sequencing options in advanced biliary tract cancer: A systematic review and network meta-analysis. 晚期胆道癌的一线全身治疗和排序选择:系统回顾和网络荟萃分析。
IF 5.7 4区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-14 Epub Date: 2024-12-08 DOI: 10.5582/bst.2024.01376
Ranning Xu, Jian Zhou, Jian Yang, Yanxi Yu, Hao Wang, Ziqi Zhang, Jian Yang, Guo Zhang, Rui Liao

The current state of systemic therapy for advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC) has undergone significant changes. Currently, there are no clinical trials directly comparing various first-line systemic therapy regimens to each other, and these trials are unlikely to be conducted in the future. In this systematic review, after various abstracts and full-text articles published from the establishment of the database until October 2024 were searched, we included and analysed phase 3 clinical trials to evaluate the efficacy of different first-line systemic treatment regimens in advanced BTC. We used the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guidelines and a random effects model to pool the overall effects. Finally, seven low-risk-of-bias trials (with all of the trials representing first-line trials) were included. A total of 4033 patients were included in seven first-line trials. In terms of progression-free survival (PFS), network meta-analysis revealed that durvalumab + gemcitabine + cisplatin (GemCis) triple therapy, S-1 + GemCis triple therapy, and pembrolizumab + GemCis triple therapy were superior to GemCis. In terms of overall survival (OS), network meta-analysis revealed that durvalumab + GemCis triple therapy and pembrolizumab + GemCis triple therapy outperformed GemCis. According to the ranking of the P scores, durvalumab + GemCis triple therapy ranked first in PFS and second in OS. Therefore, the advantages of molecular immunotherapy have gradually become known, which suggests that future trials should focus on other potential combinations and molecular immunotargeted therapies.

晚期胆道癌(BTC)的全身治疗现状发生了重大变化。目前,还没有直接比较各种一线全身治疗方案的临床试验,未来也不太可能进行这些试验。在本系统综述中,检索了从数据库建立到2024年10月发表的各种摘要和全文文章,我们纳入并分析了3期临床试验,以评估不同一线全身治疗方案对晚期BTC的疗效。我们使用系统评价和荟萃分析(PRISMA)报告指南的首选报告项目和随机效应模型来汇总总体效应。最后,纳入了7项低风险偏倚试验(所有试验均代表一线试验)。7项一线试验共纳入4033名患者。在无进展生存期(PFS)方面,网络荟萃分析显示durvalumab +吉西他滨+顺铂(GemCis)三联疗法、S-1 + GemCis三联疗法和pembrolizumab + GemCis三联疗法优于GemCis。在总生存期(OS)方面,网络荟萃分析显示durvalumab + GemCis三联疗法和pembrolizumab + GemCis三联疗法优于GemCis。根据P评分排名,durvalumab + GemCis三联疗法PFS排名第一,OS排名第二。因此,分子免疫治疗的优势已逐渐被人们所认识,这表明未来的试验应侧重于其他潜在的组合和分子免疫靶向治疗。
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